Technical Analyst, Vermilion Research

Joe Jasper

Technical Analyst

Technical and Quantitative Research

Vermilion Research

Vermilion’s objective is to deliver timely, actionable, and unique technical research to professional investors through the application of our various technical indicators.

Our research strategists seek to highlight securities which we believe are at major inflection points, based on our various technical and quantitative indicators, and offer asymmetric risk/return profiles. Our unique research methodology, centered on relative strength, enables our strategists to deliver superior investment recommendations.

Our process begins by organizing the universe of actively traded stocks into discrete sectors, then into industry groups. We then apply our technical and quantitative tools to identify developing price trends. Once attractive trends are identified within a selected sector or group, we screen for individual stocks which we believe offer the best risk/reward profile. We provide a historical perspective that often reveals, through our long-term charts, how price patterns often repeat themselves over time.

Technical Analysis

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector.  Charts highlighted:  AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH, UAA, FOSL, GOOS, GIII, TJX, BURL, AEO, ANF, BBY, M, URBN, RL, LUXTY, LE, NKE, WWW, DECK, SHOO, CROX, RCKY, WEYS, MAR, HLT, LQ, ILG, CHH, H, IHG, WYNN, LVS, MLCO, BYD, PNK, YUM, DPZ, TXRH, CAKE, NDLS, and DNKN.

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

Making sense of the Global Market, Euromonitor International Ltd.

Yu Mitsuhashi

Making sense of the Global Market

Euromonitor International Ltd.

We are a global market research company focused on industries, countries, economies and consumers worldwide. Our cross-country comparable research helps your organisation identify opportunities and develop growth strategies in countries and regions across the globe. With offices around the world, 1,200 analysts in 100 countries and market research on every key trend and driver, we give you powerful access to the real story behind consumer change.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul class=""><li>Full-service restaurants grew 7%, 5%, and 6%, respectively in current value sales, outlets, and transactions, reaching CNY3.3 trillion, 7.1 million outlets and 57.7 billion transactions in 2017.</li><li>Full-service restaurants also buoyed by booming third party online ordering/delivery in 2017.</li><li>Chained North American full-service restaurants recorded the highest value growth in 2017 of 17%.</li><li>Yum! Restaurants China Co Ltd led highly competitive landscape in 2017, with marginal value share.</li><li>Full-service restaurants are predicted to record a 3% value CAGR at constant 2017 prices and a 3% volume CAGR for outlets, reaching CNY3.9 trillion and 8.2 million units in 2022.</li></ul>

Full-service restaurants grew 7%, 5%, and 6%, respectively in current value sales, outlets, and transactions, reaching CNY3.3 trillion, 7.1 million outlets and 57.7 billion transactions in 2017.Full-service restaurants also buoyed by booming third party online ordering/delivery in 2017.Chained North American full-service restaurants recorded the highest value growth in 2017 of 17%.Yum! Restaurants China Co Ltd led highly competitive landscape in 2017, with marginal value share.Full-service restaurants are predicted to record a 3% value CAGR at constant 2017 prices and a 3% volume CAGR for outlets, reaching CNY3.9 trillion and 8.2 million units in 2022.

Sector Capsule: Full-Service Restaurants in China

<ul><li>100% home delivery/takeaway grew 6% to reach CNY1.8 billion, outlets up 8% to 558 units and transactions rise 7% to 19 million in 2017.</li><li>Booming third party online ordering/delivery service lead to decelerating growth of channel in 2017.</li><li>Pizza 100% home delivery/takeaway recorded fastest current value growth in 2017 of 6%.</li><li>Yum! Restaurants China Co Ltd continued to dominate in 2017, with a value share of 70%.</li><li>100% home delivery/takeaway is predicted to record a 4% value CAGR at constant 2017 prices and a 5% volume CAGR for outlets to reach CNY2.2 billion and 713 units in 2022.</li></ul>

100% home delivery/takeaway grew 6% to reach CNY1.8 billion, outlets up 8% to 558 units and transactions rise 7% to 19 million in 2017.Booming third party online ordering/delivery service lead to decelerating growth of channel in 2017.Pizza 100% home delivery/takeaway recorded fastest current value growth in 2017 of 6%.Yum! Restaurants China Co Ltd continued to dominate in 2017, with a value share of 70%.100% home delivery/takeaway is predicted to record a 4% value CAGR at constant 2017 prices and a 5% volume CAGR for outlets to reach CNY2.2 billion and 713 units in 2022.

Sector Capsule: 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in China

<ul><li>Fast food drives improved performance</li><li>Growing emphasis on domestically produced ingredients</li><li>Convenience stores strengthen their position</li><li>Independents losing out to chains</li><li>Tax hike delayed</li><li>Socio-economic change added downward pressure on consumerfoodservice</li></ul>

Fast food drives improved performanceGrowing emphasis on domestically produced ingredientsConvenience stores strengthen their positionIndependents losing out to chainsTax hike delayedSocio-economic change added downward pressure on consumerfoodservice

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the central government and the economic downturn as well as China’s latest effort to curb wrongdoing in luxury consumption in a crackdown on the grey market.

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the central government and the economic downturn as well as China’s latest effort to curb wrongdoing in luxury consumption in a crackdown on the grey market.

China's Luxury Market Set for Steady Performance Amid Unfavourable Market Environment

United States

Yum! Brands, Inc, owns and franchises quick-service restaurants worldwide.  The Company develops, operates, franchises and licenses a worldwide system of restaurants which prepare, package and sell a menu of food items.

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Yum! Brands Inc (YUM US)

U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector: Complete Technical Analysis

Complete top-down and bottom-up technical analysis of the U.S. Consumer Discretionary Sector. Charts highlighted: AMZN, NFLX, COLM, PVH,...

Vermilion Research

Sector Capsule: Full-Service Restaurants in China

Full-service restaurants grew 7%, 5%, and 6%, respectively in current value sales, outlets, and transactions, reaching CNY3.3 trillion, 7.1...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Sector Capsule: 100% Home Delivery/Takeaway in China

100% home delivery/takeaway grew 6% to reach CNY1.8 billion, outlets up 8% to 558 units and transactions rise 7% to 19 million in 2017. Booming...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

Consumer Foodservice in Japan

Fast food drives improved performance Growing emphasis on domestically produced ingredients Convenience stores strengthen their...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

China's Luxury Market Set for Steady Performance Amid Unfavourable Market Environment

2016 was another bumpy year for China’s luxury goods market, plagued by the long-term impact of the anti-corruption campaign undertaken by the...

Euromonitor International Ltd.

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