Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Western Superconducting Techno / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/csi-smallcap-500-index-shang" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35347:1" rel="noopener">CSI500 Index</a>, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.</li>
<li>With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.</li>
</ul>


Over 85% of the way through the review period for the December rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 9.4% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 7.22bn.
With the market being stabilised through the ETF route, the index constituents have outperformed the non-index constituents over the last 6-7 weeks. That could reverse over the near term.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
Consumer Discretionary (inflows of $2,146 million), Financials (inflows of $1,619 million), Consumer Staples (inflows of $1,100 million) led the inflows while led the outflows.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring, Luxshare, Longi Green, Wus Printed, Yonyou Network.


Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,187.1 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring, LUxshare, BOE.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 28th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$5,187.1 million, led by financials, consumer staples, industrials sectors, and offset by information technology.
We highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An Insurance, Haitian Flavouring, LUxshare, BOE.


Northbound Flows (Jul 28th): $5.2bn Inflows

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,312.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by financials, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, BYD, Sany Heavy, Luxshare Precision, Wuxi Apptec, Gree Electric Appliances, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Dahua.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of June 16th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$2,312.7 million, led by industrials, information technology, consumer discretionary sectors, and offset by financials, materials.
We highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, BYD, Sany Heavy, Luxshare Precision, Wuxi Apptec, Gree Electric Appliances, Longi Green, Ping An Insurance, Dahua.


Northbound Flows (Jun 16th): CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, Gree

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that the total inflows were USD 1.5bn last Month. Industrials, Information Technology, Consumer Staples led the inflows.
We highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine, Shaanxi Coal, Midea, Tongwei, BYD, Eve Energy, Industrial Bank.


Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

China

Yunnan Aluminium Co., Ltd. primarily manufactures and markets aluminum products. The Company's products include aluminum ingots, aluminum rolls, and aluminum alloys.

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Yunnan Aluminium Co Ltd A (000807 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: ETF Inflows Lead to Performance Skew

There should be 50 changes in Dec with a big sector skew. Turnover is ~10% and 31 stocks will have 1x ADV to trade. Huge ETF inflows have led to...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows Monthly (July): $7.3bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for July and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, BYD, Wuliangye, East Money, Haitian Flavoring,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jul 28th): $5.2bn Inflows

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Moutai, CATL, East Money Information, Wuliangye, Ping An...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Jun 16th): CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial Internet, Midea, Gree

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for CATL, Wuliangye, Moutai, Foxconn Industrial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows Monthly (Feb): CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for February and highlight flows for CATL, Hundsun, Ping An Insurance, Inovance, Xinghuacun Fen Wine.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

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