Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Yunnan Energy New Material  / Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.</li>
<li>Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.83bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.3bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.5bn).</li>
<li>The largest inflows were into <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/yunnan-chuangxin-new-material" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27135:1" rel="noopener">Yunnan Chuangxin New (002812 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-baosight-software-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:28228:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Baosight (600845 CH)</a>. The largest outflows were in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sungrow-power-supply-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:4255:1" rel="noopener">Sungrow Power (300274 CH)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ping-an-bank-co-ltd-a" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:681:1" rel="noopener">Ping An Bank (000001 CH)</a>.</li>
</ul>


Inside is a recap of movements in the last week relating to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange -Shanghai and Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities, broken down by company and industry.
Overall, net outflow over the past week was ~US$1.83bn, split between Shanghai (-US$1.3bn) and Shenzhen (-US$0.5bn).
The largest inflows were into Yunnan Chuangxin New (002812 CH) and Shanghai Baosight (600845 CH). The largest outflows were in Sungrow Power (300274 CH) and Ping An Bank (000001 CH).


Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.</li>
<li>In <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/wcp-ipo-hooked-on-lithium" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:72863" rel="noopener">WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium</a> we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
<li>In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.</li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.
In WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium we noted that WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. 
In this note, we look at the syndicate's valuation methodology. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we would pass on the IPO.


<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wcp-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36076:1" rel="noopener">WCP (WCP KS)</a>, a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.  </li>
<li>The price range of KRW80,000-100,000 implies a market cap of KRW2.7-3.4 trillion (US$2.1-2.6 billion).</li>
<li>WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. </li>
</ul>



WCP (WCP KS), a lithium-ion batteries separator company, is planning to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August.  
The price range of KRW80,000-100,000 implies a market cap of KRW2.7-3.4 trillion (US$2.1-2.6 billion).
WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins. 


Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

Korea / Special Situations

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

<ul>
<li>It is hard to understand why WCP uses future EBITDA in the peer valuation while all the peers are based on the 1Q22 LTM figures.</li>
<li>Not only that, of the eight valuation peers, only SKIET and Shenzhen Senior Tech are the only ones with sufficient business relevance to WCP.</li>
<li>WCP's intrinsic market cap is ₩2.35T with a price per share of ₩69,141, implying that the bankers' indicative price band is rather at a 15.7-44.6% premium.</li>
</ul>


It is hard to understand why WCP uses future EBITDA in the peer valuation while all the peers are based on the 1Q22 LTM figures.
Not only that, of the eight valuation peers, only SKIET and Shenzhen Senior Tech are the only ones with sufficient business relevance to WCP.
WCP's intrinsic market cap is ₩2.35T with a price per share of ₩69,141, implying that the bankers' indicative price band is rather at a 15.7-44.6% premium.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.</li>
<li>We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine.
We estimate that inflows for June was USD 11bn, led by consumer staple and financial sectors.
We highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and Inovance.


Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

China

Yunnan Energy New Material Co., Ltd. manufactures paper packaging materials. The Company produces and sells printing packages, packing boxes, liquid wrapping papers, high-grade wrapping papers, and other related products. Yunnan Energy New Material also produces and sells biaxially oriented polypropylen films.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Yunnan Energy New Material (002812 CH)

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.83bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

WCP IPO: Valuation Insights

WCP aims to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we...

Arun George

WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium

WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins.

Arun George

WCP IPO Terms & Valuation Controversies

This post details the WCP IPO, valued at ₩2.7-3.4T by the bankers, and discusses why this valuation causes over-pricing controversies.

Sanghyun Park

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

We estimate $11bn inflow into A-share market through northbound in June and highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Shanghai/​​​​​​​​​Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)

Overall, net outflow over the past week in the HK -Shanghai-Shenzhen Northbound Connect facilities was ~US$1.83bn, split between Shanghai (...

David Blennerhassett

WCP IPO: Valuation Insights

WCP aims to launch a KRW900 billion (US$692 million) IPO in August. Our valuation analysis suggests that the IPO price range is unattractive and we...

Arun George

WCP IPO: Hooked on Lithium

WCP has attractive fundamentals due to the favourable demand/supply balance, technology, strong revenue growth and improving margins.

Arun George

WCP IPO Terms & Valuation Controversies

This post details the WCP IPO, valued at ₩2.7-3.4T by the bankers, and discusses why this valuation causes over-pricing controversies.

Sanghyun Park

Northbound Flows Monthly (June): $11bn Inflows

We estimate $11bn inflow into A-share market through northbound in June and highlight monthly inflows into Moutai, Yili, East Money, Tongwei, and...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Shanghai/Shenzhen Northbound Connect: Weekly Moves (22 July 2022)