Blue Lotus China New Economy Research, Blue Lotus Research Institute

Eric Wen

Blue Lotus China New Economy Research

China growth and global non-US Internet equities

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Blue Lotus Research is a Hong Kong Type 4 Licensed investment advisory firm focusing on Chinese growth equities and global non-US Internet equities

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)</li>
<li>MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)</li>
<li>981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211 HK/TSLA US/ZK US:Electric vehicles delivered in the 48th week of 2024: LI and AITO stagnated, new new forces surged,while BYD and Tesla maintained moderate rise.(///////////)
MNSO US /601933 CH: A brief comment on the recent stock rally(///)
981HK/ACMR US/1347 HK: Impacts of US semiconductor export controls. (-/-/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

<ul>
<li>LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US:In the 47th week of new energy vehicles, LI and BYD were impacted by new new forces. (////////////)</li>
<li>1211 HK:BYD Requests Suppliers to Reduce Prices by 10% in 2025.(+)</li>
<li>1810 HK/JD US: Jiangsu Province Expands Consumer Subsidy Scope, Adding 27 Product Categories Including Mobile Phones and Laptops.(+/+)</li>
</ul>


LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US:In the 47th week of new energy vehicles, LI and BYD were impacted by new new forces. (////////////)
1211 HK:BYD Requests Suppliers to Reduce Prices by 10% in 2025.(+)
1810 HK/JD US: Jiangsu Province Expands Consumer Subsidy Scope, Adding 27 Product Categories Including Mobile Phones and Laptops.(+/+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

<ul>
<li>1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)</li>
<li>XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)</li>
<li>LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)</li>
</ul>


1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK:In the 46th week of 2024, market demand is booming and new brands gain market share.(///////////////)
XPEV US: Xpeng's vehicle revenue and gross profit margin exceeded expectations in the third quarter, but service revenue was lower than expected, resulting in lower-than-expected profits.(/)
LKNCY US: Luckin Signs Memorandum for Brazilian Coffee Bean Purchases.(+)


[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.</li>
<li>Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.</li>
<li>We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.</li>
</ul>



Geely Auto (175 HK) is at a pivotal stage in its transformation, and we expect it to outperform peers in the medium term.
Investors are seeing progress and strategic direction in three critical areas: new EV brands, increasing exports, and sustaining the success of ICE brands.
We are bullish about the EV capabilities of Chinese local OEMs and their ambition to enter global markets assertively. Geely Auto is one of the best plays on this theme.


Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

<ul>
<li>NIO and XPEV intensified promotions during C3Q24 while LI moderated them. But we see LI possibly need to ramp up its promotion to stir up demand in C4Q24;</li>
<li>Trade-In has greatly stimulated EV demand and is possible to extend into 2025. But Huawei-affiliated PHEV makers are gaining share while Tesla is readying another round of innovation-led cost reduction;</li>
<li>Our TOP PICK's of the sector are BYD and Xiaomi. BYD benefits from PHEV and Xiaomi can still benefit from PHEV.</li>
</ul>


NIO and XPEV intensified promotions during C3Q24 while LI moderated them. But we see LI possibly need to ramp up its promotion to stir up demand in C4Q24;
Trade-In has greatly stimulated EV demand and is possible to extend into 2025. But Huawei-affiliated PHEV makers are gaining share while Tesla is readying another round of innovation-led cost reduction;
Our TOP PICK's of the sector are BYD and Xiaomi. BYD benefits from PHEV and Xiaomi can still benefit from PHEV.


Not All EV Makers Are Reaping the Rewards of Macro Stimulus

United States

ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding Limited operates as a holding company. The Company, through its subsidiaries, principally engages in commercialization and sales of electric vehicles and battery, and provision of automotive related research and development services. ZEEKR Intelligent Technology Holding serves customers worldwide.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

ZEEKR (ZK US)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Not All EV Makers Are Reaping the Rewards of Macro Stimulus

NIO and XPEV intensified promotions during C3Q24 while LI moderated them. But we see LI possibly ramping up its promotion to stir up demand in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/XPEV US/NIO US/1211HK/TSLA US/ZK US/MNSO/601933CH/LKNCY/981HK/ACMR/1347HK

​Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:LI US/1211 HK/1810 HK/XPEV US/NIO US/9863 HK/ZK US/JD US/Macro News

​New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

[Blue Lotus Daily]:1211 HK/TSLA US/1810 HK/NIO US/LI US/XPEV US/ZK US/9863 HK/LKNCY US

​Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Geely Auto (175 HK): Initiation: A Key Play on China EV and Global Expansion Theme

​Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...

Raj S, CA, CFA

Not All EV Makers Are Reaping the Rewards of Macro Stimulus

NIO and XPEV intensified promotions during C3Q24 while LI moderated them. But we see LI possibly ramping up its promotion to stir up demand in...

Blue Lotus Research Institute

Electric vehicle deliveries in the 48th week of 2024 show stagnation for some, surge for others. Stock rally commentary and impacts of US...

New energy vehicle companies like LI and BYD face challenges, with BYD requesting suppliers to cut prices by 10% by 2025 ,Jiangsu Province...

Market demand is booming in 46th week of 2024, new brands gaining share; XPEV's Q3 revenue exceeds expectations but service revenue disappoints;...

Geely Auto poised to outperform peers with focus on new EV brands, exports, making it a top play in context of our bullish view on Chinese OEMs'...