European Event-Driven Analyst

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>Zegona has unlocked €1.8bn via fiber monetization, enabling a €1.6bn capital return and transforming its balance sheet with 69% share count reduction and lower leverage.</li>
<li>Trading at ~6.7x EBITDAaL, Zegona offers embedded upside through strategic rerating or a control premium from Telefónica or MasOrange, both reportedly exploring bids.</li>
<li>Post-Buyback, per-share economics improve dramatically, with lower debt, rising EBITDA, and potential for further upside via fiber JVs or a formal takeover process.</li>
</ul>


Zegona has unlocked €1.8bn via fiber monetization, enabling a €1.6bn capital return and transforming its balance sheet with 69% share count reduction and lower leverage.
Trading at ~6.7x EBITDAaL, Zegona offers embedded upside through strategic rerating or a control premium from Telefónica or MasOrange, both reportedly exploring bids.
Post-Buyback, per-share economics improve dramatically, with lower debt, rising EBITDA, and potential for further upside via fiber JVs or a formal takeover process.


Zegona Communications: From Turnaround to Capital Return Vehicle with M&A Optionality

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zegona-communications-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25686:1" rel="noopener">Zegona Communications (ZEG LN)</a> owns 100% of Vodafone Spain and is a pure-play turnaround and M&amp;A optionality vehicle in a consolidating European telecom market.</li>
<li>Telefónica and MasOrange are reportedly considering a bid, with potential upside of 25–83% depending on deal terms and valuation multiples.</li>
<li>Even without a sale, fibre JV monetization and cost-cutting support a standalone re-rating over the next 12–18 months.</li>
</ul>



Zegona Communications (ZEG LN) owns 100% of Vodafone Spain and is a pure-play turnaround and M&amp;A optionality vehicle in a consolidating European telecom market.
Telefónica and MasOrange are reportedly considering a bid, with potential upside of 25–83% depending on deal terms and valuation multiples.
Even without a sale, fibre JV monetization and cost-cutting support a standalone re-rating over the next 12–18 months.


Zegona Communications: M&A Optionality and Strategic Re-Rating

External reports (aggregated public sources), Value Investors Club

Value Investors Club (VIC)

External reports (aggregated public sources)

Value Investors Club

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Zegona is a special purpose vehicle in the telecom sector that owns Vodafone's operations in Spain</li><li>The company has potential plans to monetize Vodafone Spain's fiber assets and turnaround the underperforming business</li><li>Zegona could see a fivefold increase in stock value, presenting an opportunity for investors seeking high growth potential</li></ul><p><em>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.</em></p>

Zegona is a special purpose vehicle in the telecom sector that owns Vodafone's operations in SpainThe company has potential plans to monetize Vodafone Spain's fiber assets and turnaround the underperforming businessZegona could see a fivefold increase in stock value, presenting an opportunity for investors seeking high growth potentialThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only. This article was originally published 3 months ago on Value Investors Club.

Zegona (ZEG LN) - Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher, ORTEX

Dimitris Ioannidis

US-EU Index Rebalances / Quantitative Researcher

Global Financial Data and Analytics Platform

ORTEX

ORTEX is a global financial data and analytics platform providing real-time securities lending and short interest data, index rebalance data, holdings and insider transactions, trading signals, corporate actions and news,  stock machine learning and factor scores and other analytics. The majority of the data are downloadable and accessible through APIs.

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/schibsted-asa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22250:1" rel="noopener">Schibsted/Vend Marketplaces (VENDB NO)</a> is the highest ranked non-constituent. However, its addition is uncertain due to share class liquidity.</li>
<li>The main forecasted additions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zegona-communications-plc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25686:1" rel="noopener">Zegona Communications (ZEG LN)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nordex-se" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21682:1" rel="noopener">Nordex SE (NDX1 GR)</a> following price rallies.</li>
<li>The main forecasted deletions are <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/verallia" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36586:1" rel="noopener">Verallia (VRLA FP)</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/banca-popolare-di-sondrio-scar" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:21166:1" rel="noopener">Banca Popolare Di Sondrio Scar (BPSO IM)</a> following tender offers that significantly reduced their free float.</li>
</ul>



Schibsted/Vend Marketplaces (VENDB NO) is the highest ranked non-constituent. However, its addition is uncertain due to share class liquidity.
The main forecasted additions are Zegona Communications (ZEG LN) and Nordex SE (NDX1 GR) following price rallies.
The main forecasted deletions are Verallia (VRLA FP) and Banca Popolare Di Sondrio Scar (BPSO IM) following tender offers that significantly reduced their free float.


STOXX Europe600 Sep25 Forecast: ZEG, NDX1, FRA to Enter; VRLA, BPSO, EMBRACB to Exit

United Kingdom

Zegona Communications plc is an investment company. The Company buys and sells businesses in the European Telecommunications, Media and Technology (''TMT'') sectors.

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Zegona Communications (ZEG LN)

Zegona Communications: From Turnaround to Capital Return Vehicle with M&A Optionality

Zegona has transitioned from turnaround to capital return, unlocking €1.8bn, reducing leverage, and remaining a live M&A target—offering 20–50%...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Zegona Communications: M&A Optionality and Strategic Re-Rating

Zegona is a Vodafone Spain turnaround play with M&A tailwinds. Telefónica interest could trigger a bid; otherwise, fibre JV cash flow supports re...

Jesus Rodriguez Aguilar

Zegona (ZEG LN) - Wednesday, Oct 30, 2024

Zegona could see a fivefold increase in stock value, presenting an opportunity for investors seeking high growth potential

Value Investors Club (VIC)

STOXX Europe600 Sep25 Forecast: ZEG, NDX1, FRA to Enter; VRLA, BPSO, EMBRACB to Exit

Uncertain inclusion: VENDB due to share class liquidity. High probability inclusions: ZEG and NDX1 following price rallies. High probability...

Dimitris Ioannidis

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