Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The review period for the June rebalance ended on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.</li>
<li>There could be 3 or 4 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the index universe and could result in 2-3 deletions.</li>
<li>If there are 4 adds and 2 deletes at the June rebalance, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 13.4% and will result in a one-way trade of US$81m.</li>
</ul>


The review period for the June rebalance ended on 31 May. Announcement of the changes will be made on 9 June with implementation at the close on 16 June.
There could be 3 or 4 A-share additions due to their inclusion in Northbound Stock Connect. That in turn expands the index universe and could result in 2-3 deletions.
If there are 4 adds and 2 deletes at the June rebalance, estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be 13.4% and will result in a one-way trade of US$81m.


MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 21st.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$221.4 million, led by industrials, energy, health care sectors, and offset by information technology, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, Contemporary Amperex Technology, Shenzhen Inovance Technology, Shandong Gold Mining, East Money Information, Longi Green Energy Technology, Tongwei, Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt, Ping An Insurance.


Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of April 14th.
We estimate the weekly inflows to be US$770.1 million, led by materials, industrials, utilities sectors, and offset by financials, consumer staples.
We highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.


Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Trimegah Bangun Persada / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/pt-trimegah-bangun-persada-tbk-harita-nickel" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36826:1" rel="noopener">PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ)</a> raised around US$660m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel, HN) is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.</li>
</ul>



PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) raised around US$660m in its Indonesian IPO.
PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel, HN) is a vertically integrated pure-play nickel company operating on Obi Island, Indonesia.
In this note, we will talk about the trading dynamics and valuation.


Harita Nickel IPO Trading - Quality Names in the Bookbuild Should Aid Sentiment

Ethan Aw

Merdeka Battery Materials / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ)</a> is looking to raise around US$580m in its Indonesian IPO.</li>
<li>It has the largest resource globally in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine (the SCM Mine), according to Wood Mackenzie. </li>
<li>MBM aims to become a vertically integrated battery materials player. Through a series of acquisitions, it owns one of the world’s largest nickel mines. </li>
</ul>



Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) is looking to raise around US$580m in its Indonesian IPO.
It has the largest resource globally in terms of contained nickel at the Konawe Nickel Mine (the SCM Mine), according to Wood Mackenzie. 
MBM aims to become a vertically integrated battery materials player. Through a series of acquisitions, it owns one of the world’s largest nickel mines. 


Merdeka Battery Materials IPO - Commercializing One of the World’s Largest Nickel Mines

China

Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt Company Ltd. manufactures, processes, and distributes battery materials and new cobalt materials. The Company produces cathode materials, cobalt products, copper products, nickel products, nickel cobalt manganese hydroxide, and lithium products. Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt conducts businesses in China.

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Zhejiang Huayou Cobalt (603799 CH)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

With the review period complete, there could be 4 adds and 2 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Harita Nickel IPO Trading - Quality Names in the Bookbuild Should Aid Sentiment

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) raised around US$660m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Clarence Chu

Merdeka Battery Materials IPO - Commercializing One of the World’s Largest Nickel Mines

Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) is looking to raise around US$580m in its Indonesian IPO. MBM aims to become a vertically integrated...

Ethan Aw

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

MVIS Global Rare Earth/​​​​​​​Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot

With the review period complete, there could be 4 adds and 2 deletes for the index in June. Estimated one-way turnover at the rebalance will be...

Brian Freitas

Northbound Flows (Apr 21st): Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold, East Money

We analyzed the Shanghai/Shenzhen Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for Cosco Shipping, CATL, Shenzhen Inovance, Shandong Gold,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Northbound Flows (Apr 14th): Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Kweichow Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Wuxi Apptec.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Harita Nickel IPO Trading - Quality Names in the Bookbuild Should Aid Sentiment

PT Trimegah Bangun Persada Tbk (Harita Nickel) (2230010D IJ) raised around US$660m in its Indonesian IPO. In this note, we will talk about the...

Clarence Chu

Merdeka Battery Materials IPO - Commercializing One of the World’s Largest Nickel Mines

Merdeka Battery Materials (2012725D IJ) is looking to raise around US$580m in its Indonesian IPO. MBM aims to become a vertically integrated...

Ethan Aw

MVIS Global Rare Earth/Strategic Metals Index Rebalance Preview: Changes Afoot