IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nio-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27399:1" rel="noopener">NIO (NIO US)</a> is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. </li>
<li>NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  </li>
<li>NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. </li>
</ul>



NIO (NIO US) is a Chinese premium electric vehicle manufacturer listed across three exchanges. 
NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in 2026 is likely to be broken.  
NIO’s valuation is stretched as it trades at a material premium to median Chinese EV peers’ EV/Sales and growth-adjusted EV/Sales multiples. 


2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Alibaba Group Holding  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.</li>
<li>We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. </li>
<li>For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.</li>
</ul>


2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest number of IPOs and placements.
We ended 2022 with an accuracy rate of 74.6% across 55 IPOs that we covered and 70.5% across 78 placements. 
For those not familiar with our coverage, we aim to cover all IPOs and placements with a minimum deal size of US$100m across Asia-Pacific, including China ADRs.


Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

Beijing Sinohytec   / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/beijing-sinohytec-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:34068:1" rel="noopener">Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH)</a> (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.</li>
<li>BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing.
BSH provides fuel cell systems in China, focusing on the design, development and manufacture of fuel cell systems and stacks mainly for commercial vehicles, such as buses and trucks.
In this note, we talk about the company’s past performance and other deal dynamics.


Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - A Whole Lot of Promise but Not Much Earnings to Show for It Yet

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zeekr-intelligent-technology-holding" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36785:1" rel="noopener">ZEEKR (ZK US)</a> has entered into a definitive merger agreement with <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/geely-automobile-holdings-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:127:1" rel="noopener">Geely Auto (175 HK)</a> at US$26.87 per ADS or 12.3 newly issued Geely shares. The cash offer increased by 4.7%. </li>
<li>The proposal is conditional on regulatory approvals (low risk, as Zeekr is a subsidiary of Geely), as well as approval from Zeekr's shareholders and Geely's independent shareholders.  </li>
<li>The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely vote is low risk due to the low takeover premium. </li>
</ul>



ZEEKR (ZK US) has entered into a definitive merger agreement with Geely Auto (175 HK) at US$26.87 per ADS or 12.3 newly issued Geely shares. The cash offer increased by 4.7%. 
The proposal is conditional on regulatory approvals (low risk, as Zeekr is a subsidiary of Geely), as well as approval from Zeekr's shareholders and Geely's independent shareholders.  
The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely vote is low risk due to the low takeover premium. 


ZEEKR (ZK US): Geely Auto’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

Articles from Caixin Global, Caixin Global

Caixin Global

Articles from Caixin Global

Caixin is a media group dedicated to providing financial and business news through periodicals, online content, mobile apps, conferences, books and TV/video programs. Caixin aims to blaze a trail that helps traditional media prosper in the new media age through integrated multimedia platforms.

News from Caixin

Cross Asset Strategy

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China

Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies Ltd. operates as an electric vehicles manufacturer. The Company develops and sells electric vehicles and other products. Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologies markets its products throughout China.

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Zhejiang Leapmotor Technologie (9863 HK)

2025 High Conviction: Short NIO (NIO US/9866 HK)

NIO will likely struggle to reignite its growth with its three-brand strategy in a fiercely competitive market. Its promise to reach breakeven in...

Arun George

Aequitas 2022 IPOs and Placements Performance Review - From the Busiest Year to the Slowest Year

2022 marked our seventh year covering Equity Capital Markets (ECM) in Asia Pacific. 2022 was rather quiet ending with us covering one of the lowest...

Sumeet Singh

Beijing SinoHytec A/H Listing - A Whole Lot of Promise but Not Much Earnings to Show for It Yet

Beijing Sinohytec Co Ltd (688339 CH) (BSH) is looking to raise up to US$400m via its H-shares listing. In this note, we talk about the deal dynamics.

Sumeet Singh

ZEEKR (ZK US): Geely Auto’s Binding Offer a Done Deal

The Zeekr shareholder vote is a formality as Geely and undertakings exceed the two-thirds voting threshold. The Geely independent vote is low risk...

Arun George

CX Daily: Can China Provide Middle-Schoolers Long-Promised Exam Relief?

Exam / In Depth: Can China provide middle-schoolers long-promised exam relief? Tourism /: Thailand falls out of favor with Chinese tourists Drugs...

Caixin Global

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