HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/giga-device-semiconductor-inc-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46238:1" rel="noopener">GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK)</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/montage-technology-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:46333:1" rel="noopener">Montage Technology (6809 HK)</a>, and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/victory-giant-technology-huizhou-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48083:1" rel="noopener">Victory Giant (2476 HK)</a> are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/contemporary-amperex-technology-co-limited-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45179:1" rel="noopener">Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK)</a> is large in size but not as fast in growth. <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/delton-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:47605:1" rel="noopener">Delton Technology (1989 HK)</a>'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  </li>
</ul>


The H-share IPOs of listed A-shares since 2025 witnessed a 6.6pp contraction in HA discount, compared with only 2.7pp for the Hang Seng Stock Connect China AH Premium Index.

GigaDevice Semiconductor (3986 HK), Montage Technology (6809 HK), and Victory Giant (2476 HK) are the only 3 with both good discount contraction, fast growth and large size.

Contemporary Amperex Technology (3750 HK) is large in size but not as fast in growth. Delton Technology (1989 HK)'s market capitalisation is relatively small.  


HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

Asian Hedge Fund Manager, Long Short Equity, Macro

David Mudd

Cross Asset Strategy

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong market continues in an upward trend after breaking resistance at 27100 last month.  The next resistance level is 28000.  Southbound flows have accelerated over the last week. </li>
<li>The energy, conglomerates, and property sectors outperformed the materials sector in 2026.  Momentum and value have been the top factors for performance YTD.</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-sanhua-intelligent-controls-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45277:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)</a> was initiated with OUTPERFORM at Shenwan Hongyuan Research.  The manufacturer of air-conditioning and refrigeration components has expanded into energy storage, automotive thermal management, and robotics.
</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong market continues in an upward trend after breaking resistance at 27100 last month.  The next resistance level is 28000.  Southbound flows have accelerated over the last week. 
The energy, conglomerates, and property sectors outperformed the materials sector in 2026.  Momentum and value have been the top factors for performance YTD.

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK) was initiated with OUTPERFORM at Shenwan Hongyuan Research.  The manufacturer of air-conditioning and refrigeration components has expanded into energy storage, automotive thermal management, and robotics.



BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (February 10)

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, DZT Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>We study 139 HK listings since 2025 and collected performance data for cornerstone investors, covering both raw cornerstone names and mapped investor entities where available.</li>
<li>We identify repeat cornerstone investors and sponsors with stronger post-listing track records, focusing on 2W return distribution, dollar-weighted return, deal count, and downside range.</li>
<li>We further examine investor-sponsor relationships, using both raw co-participation counts and sponsor-adjusted intensity to highlight cornerstone investors and sponsor pairings worth following.</li>
</ul>


We study 139 HK listings since 2025 and collected performance data for cornerstone investors, covering both raw cornerstone names and mapped investor entities where available.
We identify repeat cornerstone investors and sponsors with stronger post-listing track records, focusing on 2W return distribution, dollar-weighted return, deal count, and downside range.
We further examine investor-sponsor relationships, using both raw co-participation counts and sponsor-adjusted intensity to highlight cornerstone investors and sponsor pairings worth following.


2025/2026 HK IPO: Cornerstone Investors That Matter

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  </li>
<li>Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.</li>
<li>Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.</li>
</ul>


China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, which outline the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.  
Historically the five-year plans have been a roadmap for investors to look for tailwinds for economic sector performance.  We believe the high-tech industries will remain the main focus for investment.
Exporters of high-end equipment and machinery will continue to benefit with the consumption sector being a focus for international investors.


EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

<ul>
<li>Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.</li>
<li>The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.</li>
<li>At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.</li>
</ul>


Hong Kong Alpha portfolio gained 8.45% in September and 60.89% and 62.80% YTD and since launch one year ago.  The portfolio has outperformed Hong Kong indexes by more than 40%.
The portfolio has a Sharpe ratio of 3.23 YTD and has generated more than 40% of its returns from stock-picking (alpha).  Its beta is low at only 1.17.
At the end of September, we increased exposure to AI and robotics and sold positions in the consumer and finance sectors.


HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

China

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells refrigeration and air-conditioning electrical parts and auto parts. The company specializes in environmentally friendly thermal management solutions, developing HVAC systems, home appliance equipment, and thermal management solutions for new energy vehicles. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

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Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (February 10)

Hong Kong market continues in an upward trend after breaking resistance at 27100 last month. The next resistance level is 28000. Southbound flows...

David Mudd

2025/2026 HK IPO: Cornerstone Investors That Matter

HK IPO: We studied 139 deals from 2025 to-date to build a quantifiable cornerstone-investor signal for future IPO participation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, outlining the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.Historically...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Due to the sudden escalation of US/China tensions we have decided to reduce AI and other risk exposure in the Hong Kong Alpha portfolio at the open...

David Mudd

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HK Strategy: H-Share IPOs - Both Growth and Size Count Now

​H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...

Osbert Tang, CFA

BUY/SELL/HOLD: Hong Kong Market Update (February 10)

Hong Kong market continues in an upward trend after breaking resistance at 27100 last month. The next resistance level is 28000. Southbound flows...

David Mudd

2025/2026 HK IPO: Cornerstone Investors That Matter

HK IPO: We studied 139 deals from 2025 to-date to build a quantifiable cornerstone-investor signal for future IPO participation.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

EMERGING THEMES: China's Next 5 Year Plan

China will roll out its 2026 - 2030 five-year plan this month, outlining the economic and social roadmap until the end of the decade.Historically...

David Mudd

HONG KONG ALPHA PORTFOLIO: (September 2025)

Due to the sudden escalation of US/China tensions we have decided to reduce AI and other risk exposure in the Hong Kong Alpha portfolio at the open...

David Mudd

H-share IPOs of A-shares since 2025 show significant HA discount contraction, with GigaDevice Semiconductor, Montage Technology, and Victory Giant...