HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Shenzhen Longsys Electronics / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>The IPO of <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shenzhen-longsys-electronics-co-ltd-9ad6ee79-c403-4819-a5df-de95777ae2a7" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55525:1" rel="noopener">Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK)</a>, a branded independent semiconductor memory product enterprise, does not appear particularly attractive to us.</li>
<li>Although its EPS CAGR will reach 95.5% for FY25-28, the growth is entirely generated in FY26, as market consensus projects a decline in FY27 and FY28.</li>
<li>Its FY27 PER of 8x is higher than global peers, and the steep 45.9% discount to the A-share is justified by the uncertain earnings outlook.</li>
</ul>


The IPO of Shenzhen Longsys Electronics (9976 HK), a branded independent semiconductor memory product enterprise, does not appear particularly attractive to us.
Although its EPS CAGR will reach 95.5% for FY25-28, the growth is entirely generated in FY26, as market consensus projects a decline in FY27 and FY28.
Its FY27 PER of 8x is higher than global peers, and the steep 45.9% discount to the A-share is justified by the uncertain earnings outlook.


Shenzhen Longsys (9976 HK) IPO: Not Too Exciting

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Mech-Mind Robotics Technologies / Equity Capital Markets

Mech-Mind Robotics Technologies (MMRT HK)

<ul>
<li>Mech-Mind, a provider of 3D vision-guided robot components, launched its Hong Kong IPO to raise USD 300m. CSC and CITIC are the Joint Sponsors.</li>
<li>In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.</li>
<li>We analyze cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.</li>
</ul>


Mech-Mind, a provider of 3D vision-guided robot components, launched its Hong Kong IPO to raise USD 300m. CSC and CITIC are the Joint Sponsors.
In this note, we look at the deal terms and provide our thoughts on valuation for the company.
We analyze cornerstone and sponsor performance and assess the risk-reward of the deal.


Mech-Mind (梅卡曼德) IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 79.8% as of Aug 21st.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, health care.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Smic, China South Air, Gtht, Yankuang Energy, China Telecom, Haier Smarthome.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 196 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 79.8% as of Aug 21st.
The average A-H premium changed by -3.0ppt week-on-week, led by communication services, utilities, health care.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Smic, China South Air, Gtht, Yankuang Energy, China Telecom, Haier Smarthome.


A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 21st): Smic, China South Air, Gtht, Yankuang Energy, China Telecom

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 21st.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, Minimax, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Zijin Gold Intl.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of August 21st.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas, Minimax, Xiaomi, Alibaba, Zijin Gold Intl.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 21st): Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen / Equity Capital Markets

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipmen (300450 CH)

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wuxi-lead-intelligent-equipment-co-ltd-class-h" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:48989:1" rel="noopener">Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK)</a>, raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.</li>
<li>WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.</li>
<li>In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.</li>
</ul>



Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their lockup.
WLIE is a global platform-based intelligent equipment enterprise, offering intelligent equipment and solutions to a wide range of emerging and high-end manufacturing industries.
In this note, we will talk about the lockup dynamics and possible placement.


Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Lockup Expiry - US$190m Release, All Financial Investors

China

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co., Ltd. researches, manufactures, and sells refrigeration and air-conditioning electrical parts and auto parts. The company specializes in environmentally friendly thermal management solutions, developing HVAC systems, home appliance equipment, and thermal management solutions for new energy vehicles. It was founded in 1994 and is headquartered in Shaoxing, China.

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Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)

Shenzhen Longsys (9976 HK) IPO: Not Too Exciting

Shenzhen Longsys H-share is priced at a 45.9% discount to the A-share, but the market's projected earnings decline for FY27-28 is a concern. Its 8x...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Mech-Mind (梅卡曼德) IPO: Analysis of Deal Terms

We analyze Mech-Mind's USD 300m Hong Kong IPO. We look at deal terms and track records of cornerstone investors and sponsors. We would participate...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

A-H Premium Weekly (Aug 21st): Smic, China South Air, Gtht, Yankuang Energy, China Telecom

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Smic, China South Air, Gtht, Yankuang Energy, China Telecom,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Aug 21st): Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge Atlas

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Tencent, Smic, Hua Hong Semi, Meituan, Lenovo, Knowledge...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Wuxi Lead A/H Lockup Expiry - US$190m Release, All Financial Investors

Wuxi Lead Intelligent Equipment (470 HK), raised around US$725m in its H-share listing. Its cornerstone investors will soon be released from their...

Sumeet Singh

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