Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.</li>
<li>A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.</li>
<li>There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.</li>
</ul>


We see 28 potential and close adds and 34 potential and close deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index in September. Some of the stocks are close on market cap/liquidity.
A lot of the potential adds are very recently listed stocks that have a limited trading history. The low free float could lead to price spikes in the stocks.
There are stocks that have a very high percentage of holdings via Stock Connect and there could be some unwinding prior to the stocks becoming Sell-only.


HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Bottom-Up

China International Capital Corporation / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  </li>
<li>YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.</li>
<li>Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).</li>
</ul>



China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)'s 1H25 positive profit alert is encouraging, with 1H25 results growing by 55-78% YoY.  
YTD, CICC has a 59.5% share of the HK IPO market. The solid H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies is beneficial, as this is its major area of strength.
Market consensus has underestimated its FY25 earnings, inflating its PER multiples. The current 51% discount of its H-share to A-share is just too steep (average 37.7%).


CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>YTD, the share prices of the H-share IPOs of A-shares increased by an average of 30.2%, and the H-A discount narrowed by 14.8pp, but the range is wide.</li>
<li>The growth outlook, as reflected by the 3-year EPS CAGR, is the key driver for the performance and reduction in H-A share discounts.</li>
<li>Market cap, absolute PER multiples, and even relative PER ratios are not the major factors supporting their post-IPO performance.</li>
</ul>


YTD, the share prices of the H-share IPOs of A-shares increased by an average of 30.2%, and the H-A discount narrowed by 14.8pp, but the range is wide.
The growth outlook, as reflected by the 3-year EPS CAGR, is the key driver for the performance and reduction in H-A share discounts.
Market cap, absolute PER multiples, and even relative PER ratios are not the major factors supporting their post-IPO performance.


HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/fortior-technology-shenzhen-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:44259:1" rel="noopener">Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH)</a>, a BLDC motor IC design company, raised around US$330m in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Fortior Tech is an IC design company dedicated to the design and R&amp;D of BLDC motor control ICs.</li>
<li>In our previous note, we have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.</li>
</ul>



Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, raised around US$330m in its H-share listing.
Fortior Tech is an IC design company dedicated to the design and R&amp;D of BLDC motor control ICs.
In our previous note, we have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium. In this note, we talk about the trading dynamics.


Fortior Tech A/H Trading - Sluggish Demand

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lens-technology" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:45390:1" rel="noopener">Lens Technology (6613 HK)</a> priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <em><strong><a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/lens-technology-h-share-listing-6613-hk-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:191858" rel="noopener">Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case</a></strong></em>. </li>
<li>Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.</li>
</ul>



Lens Technology (6613 HK) priced its H Share at HK$18.18 to raise HK$4,768 million (US$607 million) in gross proceeds. The H Share will be listed tomorrow.
I discussed the H Share listing in Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): The Investment Case. 
Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the decent price momentum.


Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

China

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls Co.,Ltd. manufactures refrigeration and air conditioning electrical parts. The Company designs, produces, and sells four-way reversing valves, electronic expansion valves, solenoid valves, microchannel heat exchangers, omega pumps, and more. Sanhua Intelligent also produces automotive thermal components for vehicles.

Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
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Zhejiang Sanhua Intelligent Controls (2050 HK)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fortior Tech A/H Trading - Sluggish Demand

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, raised around US$330m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

HSCI Index Rebalance Preview and Stock Connect (Sep 2025): Plenty of Recent IPOs Could Be Added

The forecast adds to the index and Stock Connect are up 9.7% on average this month while the forecast deletes from the index and Stock Connect are...

Brian Freitas

CICC (3908 HK): It Is the Best of the Time

​CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

Osbert Tang, CFA

HK Strategy: How to Play the Future H IPOs of the As

​H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....

Osbert Tang, CFA

Fortior Tech A/H Trading - Sluggish Demand

Fortior Technology (Shenzhen) (688279 CH), a BLDC motor IC design company, raised around US$330m in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

Lens Technology H Share Listing (6613 HK): Trading Debut

Lens had the fourth-highest international oversubscription rates among recent large AH listings. The AH discount is attractive in part due to the...

Arun George

CICC is alerting a strong 1H25 profit growth, leading in the HK IPO market with a promising H-share IPO pipeline of A-share companies. The market...

H-share IPOs of A-shares have seen a 30.2% increase in share prices YTD, with a growth outlook driving performance and narrowing H-A discounts....