Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period for the June rebalance of the CSI500 Index, we forecast 50 changes (the maximum permitted) at the close on 8 December.
There is a big sector skew in the potential changes. We estimate a one-way turnover of 10.1% at the December rebalance resulting in a one-way trade of CNY 6.75bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the CSI500 Index over the last six weeks. There could be more outperformance till nearer the end of the review period.


CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

Shanghai United Imaging Health / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the December rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.</li>
<li>We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.98% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.32bn.</li>
<li>The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-inde" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX)</a> over the last five months, though there is some near-term underperformance.</li>
</ul>


Two thirds of the way through the review period, we see 14 potential index changes at the December rebalance that will be implemented at the close on 8 December.
We estimate a one-way turnover of 1.98% at the December rebalance leading to a one-way trade of CNY 5.32bn.
The potential adds have outperformed the potential deletes and the Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX) over the last five months, though there is some near-term underperformance.


CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Early Look at Potential Changes in December

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>All eyes were on <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/rakuten-bank-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35638:1" rel="noopener">Rakuten Bank (5838 JP)</a> listing this week. It didn't disappoint, neither did <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/merdeka-battery-materials" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:36864:1" rel="noopener">Merdeka Battery Materials.</a>
</li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/anta-sports-products-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10261:1" rel="noopener">Anta Sports Products (2020 HK)</a> pulled off one of the largest placements so far in 2023, despite being net cash.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
All eyes were on Rakuten Bank (5838 JP) listing this week. It didn't disappoint, neither did Merdeka Battery Materials.


Anta Sports Products (2020 HK) pulled off one of the largest placements so far in 2023, despite being net cash.


ECM Weekly (23rd Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Merdeka, ZJLD, Mankind, Lalatech, IMotion, Anta, KIT

<ul>
<li>Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.</li>
<li>Momentum appears to be picking up on the IPO front with a few successful listing helping sentiment</li>
<li>On the placement front, GDR flow appears to have resumed.</li>
</ul>


Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.
Momentum appears to be picking up on the IPO front with a few successful listing helping sentiment
On the placement front, GDR flow appears to have resumed.


ECM Weekly (16th Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Harita Nickel, Merdeka Battery, ZJLD, Adicon, Supcon

APAC IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Clarence Chu

APAC IPOs & Placements

Zhejiang Supcon Technology  / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhejiang-supcon-technology-co" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:33457:1" rel="noopener">Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH)</a> is looking to raise around US$347m in its Swiss GDR listing. Huatai and CLSA are bookrunners on the deal.</li>
<li>The firm is offering 12.5m GDRs (1 GDR to 2 ordinary A-shares) for sale, at a 8.1-10.8% discount to last close on the A-share leg.</li>
<li>The deal is a relatively small one for the firm to digest, representing just 5.9 days of three month ADV on its A-share leg.</li>
</ul>



Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH) is looking to raise around US$347m in its Swiss GDR listing. Huatai and CLSA are bookrunners on the deal.
The firm is offering 12.5m GDRs (1 GDR to 2 ordinary A-shares) for sale, at a 8.1-10.8% discount to last close on the A-share leg.
The deal is a relatively small one for the firm to digest, representing just 5.9 days of three month ADV on its A-share leg.


Zhejiang Supcon Technology GDR Listing - Momentum Has Been Strong and Not a Large Deal to Process

China

Zhejiang Supcon Technology Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes industrial automation control products. The Company produces and sells distributed control system, programmable logic controller, and other related products. Zhejiang Supcon Technology markets its products worldwide.

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Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH)

CSI500 Index Rebalance Preview: Potential Adds Outperforming Potential Deletes

We see 50 changes a side for the CSI500 in Dec. The Industrials sector could take a lot of index spots from Materials as one-way turnover exceeds...

Brian Freitas

CSI300 Index Rebalance Preview: Early Look at Potential Changes in December

We currently have 14 changes for the CSI300 Index in December. Most changes are high probability and the potential adds have outperformed the...

Brian Freitas

ECM Weekly (23rd Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Merdeka, ZJLD, Mankind, Lalatech, IMotion, Anta, KIT

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

ECM Weekly (16th Apr 2023) - Rakuten Bank, Harita Nickel, Merdeka Battery, ZJLD, Adicon, Supcon

Aequitas Research puts out a weekly update on the deals that were covered by the team recently along with updates for upcoming IPOs.

Sumeet Singh

Zhejiang Supcon Technology GDR Listing - Momentum Has Been Strong and Not a Large Deal to Process

Zhejiang Supcon Technology (688777 CH) is looking to raise around US$347m in its Swiss GDR listing. Huatai and CLSA are bookrunners on the deal.

Clarence Chu

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)