Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) / Equity Bottom-Up

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing) (TSM US)

TSMC (Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing)

<ul>
<li>Last Week -- TSMC's July Revenue Soared, Asustek Guided for PC Growth Acceleration, While KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC Rebounded</li>
<li>Key Events -- This Week Look to Hon Hai &amp; Zhen Ding Earnings and Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, iPhone 16</li>
<li>PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long </li>
</ul>


Last Week -- TSMC's July Revenue Soared, Asustek Guided for PC Growth Acceleration, While KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC Rebounded
Key Events -- This Week Look to Hon Hai &amp; Zhen Ding Earnings and Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, iPhone 16
PC Monitor: Promising Uptake of Microsoft Copilot and AI Services; Remain Structurally Long 


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Event-Driven

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index / Event-Driven

Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/taiwan-stock-exchange-weighted-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26056:1" rel="noopener">Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX)</a> has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence <s>hype</s> boom has taken over.</li>
<li>Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.</li>
<li>The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/novatek-microelectronics-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:10904:1" rel="noopener">Novatek Microelectronics</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/hon-hai-precision-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:745:1" rel="noopener">Hon Hai Precision Industry</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/lite-on-technology-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:14591:1" rel="noopener">Lite On Technology</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/acer-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:15726:1" rel="noopener">Acer</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/wistron-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:2189:1" rel="noopener">Wistron Corp</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-steel-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:962:1" rel="noopener">China Steel</a>, <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhen-ding-technology-holding-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:16830:1" rel="noopener">Zhen Ding Technology Holding</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/chailease-holding-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6579:1" rel="noopener">Chailease Holding</a>.</li>
</ul>


The Taiwan Stock Exchange Weighted Index (TWSE INDEX) has surged this year as the Artificial Intelligence hype boom has taken over.
Short notional has risen too, more due to higher stock prices than due to increased shorting. However, there are stocks that have seen big changes in short interest YTD.
The largest YTD increase in shorts have been in Novatek Microelectronics, Hon Hai Precision Industry, Lite On Technology, Acer, Wistron Corp, China Steel, Zhen Ding Technology Holding and Chailease Holding.


Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,012.0bn.</li>
<li>We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD531mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.</li>
<li>We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay Financial, Compeq Mfg, Far Eastone Tele, Taiwan Mobile, Lite-On Tech, Asia Vital, Novatek.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in foreign holdings of TWSE Stocks as of Jul 5th which has an aggregated holding worth USD1,012.0bn.
We estimate that foreign flows to be inflows of USD531mln. We tabulate the league table for top changes by value for 1W/4W/1Y and top stocks held by foreign institutions.
We highlight foreign changes in TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay Financial, Compeq Mfg, Far Eastone Tele, Taiwan Mobile, Lite-On Tech, Asia Vital, Novatek.


TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 5th): TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay Financial

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 21st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD104.4bn.</li>
<li>We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.</li>
<li>We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital, Ctbc Financial, TSMC, Inventec, Shin Zu Shing.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the changes in short interest of TWSE Stocks as of Jun 21st which has an aggregated short interest worth USD104.4bn.
We tabulate league table for top short by value and short as multiple of ADT, as well as weekly increases &amp; decreases in short value, short as multiple of ADT.
We highlight short interest changes in Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&amp;Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital, Ctbc Financial, TSMC, Inventec, Shin Zu Shing.


TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 21st): Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital

<ul>
<li>Apple supply chain names are falling due concerns about weak iPhone shipments. Global PC shipments returned to growth as per IDC data.</li>
<li>TSMC and ASML results this week and will be cruical for the market. Can TSMC rally again to achieve new highs or will it continue trading lower?</li>
<li>Nanya Technology sees DRAM Industry pricing rising through 2024E; but is underperforming financially.</li>
</ul>


Apple supply chain names are falling due concerns about weak iPhone shipments. Global PC shipments returned to growth as per IDC data.
TSMC and ASML results this week and will be cruical for the market. Can TSMC rally again to achieve new highs or will it continue trading lower?
Nanya Technology sees DRAM Industry pricing rising through 2024E; but is underperforming financially.


Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

Taiwan

Zhen Ding Technology Holding Ltd is a manufacturer of printed circuit board. The Company design, development, manufacture and sale of printed circuit board.

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Zhen Ding Technology Holding (4958 TT)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 5th): TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 21st): Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Watch Hon Hai & Zhen Ding Guidance for Servers, AI PCs/Mobiles, and IPhone 16

​TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Taiwan: YTD Short Interest Moves

The TWSE has surged this year as semis and AI-linked stocks have rallied. The market crash could lead to covering in stocks with large shorts as...

Brian Freitas

TWSE Foreign Holding Weekly (Jul 5th): TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay Financial

We analyzed TWSE foreign holding data for the past week and highlighted foreign holding changes in TSMC, Zhen Ding Tech, Realtek Semi, Cathay...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

TWSE Short Interest Weekly (Jun 21st): Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia Vital

We analyzed TWSE short interest report for the past week and highlighted short interest changes in Hon Hai, Wiwynn, Shihlin Elec&Eng, Tatung, Asia...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Taiwan Tech Weekly: Apple Suppliers Slump on IPhone; PC Volumes Back to Growth; TSMC & ASML Results

​Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

TSMC, Asustek, KYEC, Mediatek, and UMC see revenue growth, Hon Hai and Zhen Ding earnings in focus for servers, AI, and iPhone 16. Microsoft...

Apple supply chain names are dropping due to weak iPhone shipments, while global PC shipments are growing. TSMC and ASML results will be crucial...