Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven), MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Pan-Asia Tactical Market Calls (Quant-Driven)

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a> IPO could not happen on a worse day, right after a US sell-off, but both the HK and the China mainland stock <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:6986:1" rel="noopener">(300308 CH)</a> will recover.</li>
<li>H-Share float expansion, IPO arbitrage, and sector profit-taking created a tactical dislocation against intact fundamental bull cases. </li>
<li>Consensus Rating is overwhelmingly bullish. Analyst coverage shows ~87.5% "Strong Buy" and ~12.5% "Buy" with zero "Hold" or "Sell" ratings. <strong>Our model indicates the stock is short-term oversold.</strong>
</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO could not happen on a worse day, right after a US sell-off, but both the HK and the China mainland stock (300308 CH) will recover.
H-Share float expansion, IPO arbitrage, and sector profit-taking created a tactical dislocation against intact fundamental bull cases. 
Consensus Rating is overwhelmingly bullish. Analyst coverage shows ~87.5% "Strong Buy" and ~12.5% "Buy" with zero "Hold" or "Sell" ratings. Our model indicates the stock is short-term oversold.



Zhongji Innolight Tactical Outlook: Fade Relief Rally as Downside Risk Persists

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Equity Capital Markets

Zhongji InnoLight / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/zhongji-innolight" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55331:1" rel="noopener">Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK)</a> fixed its IPO price at HK$980, 3% below the maximum, due to the recent weakness of AI-related stocks. Its HA discount is now at just 11.1%.  </li>
<li>Its peers have retreated an average of 12.1% in a week, and its A-share was off by 10.4%. Futubull's grey market price was down 1% from the IPO.</li>
<li>It may dip below IPO on debut, but anything below 15% HA discount is a bargain (HK$936.8). For initial upside, we look for par with A-share, i.e. HK$1,102.</li>
</ul>



Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) fixed its IPO price at HK$980, 3% below the maximum, due to the recent weakness of AI-related stocks. Its HA discount is now at just 11.1%.  
Its peers have retreated an average of 12.1% in a week, and its A-share was off by 10.4%. Futubull's grey market price was down 1% from the IPO.
It may dip below IPO on debut, but anything below 15% HA discount is a bargain (HK$936.8). For initial upside, we look for par with A-share, i.e. HK$1,102.


Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

Shenton Research

Shenton Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

<ul>
<li>Zhongji Innolight raised HKD 52,891m (USD 6,746m) from its global offering and will list on the HKEx on Thursday, July 30, 2026.</li>
<li>In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.</li>
<li>In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.</li>
</ul>


Zhongji Innolight raised HKD 52,891m (USD 6,746m) from its global offering and will list on the HKEx on Thursday, July 30, 2026.
In our previous notes, we looked at the company's fundamentals and the deal terms.
In this note, we provide an update for the IPO before its trading debut.


Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

SHEIN Global Holdings / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shein-global-holdings" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:55372:1" rel="noopener">SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK)</a>, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.</li>
<li>Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. </li>
</ul>



SHEIN Global Holdings (SHEIN HK), a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing.
Shein is a global online fashion and lifestyle company serving approximately 273m active customers in approximately 160 markets in 2025.
In this note, we talk about the not-so-positive aspects of the deal. 


Aequitas: Shein - The Negatives - Controversies, Down Rounds, Cash Payouts & Earning as Well.

Managing Director, Zero One, Zero One

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Managing Director, Zero One

Zero One

Founded in 2015, Zero One produces independent investment research and provides corporate finance advisory services with a focus on both listed and private technology companies. Founder Vincent Fernando has over 20 years of experience in US and Asia capital markets.

Independent Investment Research

Equity Bottom-Up

Wuxi Taclink Optoelectronics Technology / Equity Bottom-Up

Wuxi Taclink Optoelectronics Technology (688205 CH)

<ul>
<li>A-Share optoelectronics names hold the largest single-country share of merchant optical transceivers; Innolight leads globally at CNY38.24bn FY25 revenue, with Eoptolink next at CNY24.84bn.</li>
<li>AI has multiplied demand: Big-5 hyperscaler capex reached US$353bn in 2025, 2026 plans sum to roughly US$790bn, and the market is in year one of the 1.6T generation.</li>
<li>The module leaders trade at roughly 27x forward earnings, the cheapest layer of their own supply chain; upstream chip, DSP, and EMS peers run 29-52x.</li>
</ul>


A-Share optoelectronics names hold the largest single-country share of merchant optical transceivers; Innolight leads globally at CNY38.24bn FY25 revenue, with Eoptolink next at CNY24.84bn.
AI has multiplied demand: Big-5 hyperscaler capex reached US$353bn in 2025, 2026 plans sum to roughly US$790bn, and the market is in year one of the 1.6T generation.
The module leaders trade at roughly 27x forward earnings, the cheapest layer of their own supply chain; upstream chip, DSP, and EMS peers run 29-52x.


China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

China

Zhongji Innolight Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes industrial machines and machine parts. The Company produces motor stator windings, insulating machines, coil winding equipment, automatic production lines, and more. Zhongji Innolight mainly conducts businesses domestically.

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Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH)

Zhongji Innolight Tactical Outlook: Fade Relief Rally as Downside Risk Persists

Zhongji InnoLight sank Thursday on US tech weakness, but the stock should bounce back on Friday. We outline key support levels for the downtrend:...

Nico Rosti

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

Zhongji Innolight raised USD 6,746m to list on HKEX on Thursday, July 30. We are cautious on debut performance given the A-share's fall since...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Shein - The Negatives - Controversies, Down Rounds, Cash Payouts & Earning as Well.

SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zhongji Innolight Tactical Outlook: Fade Relief Rally as Downside Risk Persists

Zhongji InnoLight sank Thursday on US tech weakness, but the stock should bounce back on Friday. We outline key support levels for the downtrend:...

Nico Rosti

Zhongji InnoLight (3308 HK) IPO: Debut and Trading Strategy

​Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Zhongji Innolight (中际旭创) IPO Trading

Zhongji Innolight raised USD 6,746m to list on HKEX on Thursday, July 30. We are cautious on debut performance given the A-share's fall since...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Aequitas: Shein - The Negatives - Controversies, Down Rounds, Cash Payouts & Earning as Well.

SHEIN Global Holdings, a global online fashion and lifestyle company, aims to raise up to US$3bn in its Hong Kong listing. In this note, we talk...

Sumeet Singh

China Optoelectronics: Powering AI's Voracious Bandwidth Needs

​A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...

Vincent Fernando, CFA

Zhongji InnoLight prices IPO at 3% below the maximum due to AI stock weakness. It may dip below IPO price, but anything more than 15% HA discount...

A-Share optoelectronics dominate merchant optical transceivers market; AI driving Big-5 hyperscaler capex to US$790bn in 2026, module leaders...