External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China’s major hyperscalers (Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu, all covered by our internet team) are intensifying their investments in AI infrastructure, with capex doubling YoY in 1Q25.</li><li>While their combined spending still trails overseas hyperscalers, the sharp increase indicates a clear strategic focus on scaling compute capacity to support LLM training and inference.</li><li>Despite near-term headwinds from export restrictions from the US on AI GPUs, these domestic players remain committed to long-term AI growth. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China’s major hyperscalers (Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu, all covered by our internet team) are intensifying their investments in AI infrastructure, with capex doubling YoY in 1Q25.While their combined spending still trails overseas hyperscalers, the sharp increase indicates a clear strategic focus on scaling compute capacity to support LLM training and inference.Despite near-term headwinds from export restrictions from the US on AI GPUs, these domestic players remain committed to long-term AI growth. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends - 28 May 2025

<ul><li>Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.</li><li>We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).</li><li>We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Alibaba released its 3QFY25 earnings (see our internet team report) with a significant step-up in capex plan for the next three years, the total of which is expected to surpass the company’s cumulative capex of the past decade, per mgmt., reaching as high as ~RMB120bn per year during CY2026-28E, according to our calculation.We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless investment strides of overseas CSPs (Amazon, Meta, Microsoft, and Google).We believe the ripple effects of Alibaba’s increased capex plan will benefit domestic AI infrastructure supply chain names, such as Innolight (300308 CH, BUY, TP: RMB186) and Shengyi Tech (600183 CH, BUY, TP: RMB34.5), which supply critical components (e.g., high-speed optical transceivers, ultra-low-loss CCL) for datacenter buildout.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

<ul><li>Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has surged to the top of AI-related downloads on both domestic and overseas iOS App Stores over the weekend, showcasing its super-efficient open-source model (~10k A100) running on a cost-effective compute infrastructure. </li><li>This milestone has immediately ignited intense debate around the trade-offs between big and small models, open vs. closed-source approaches, and cost-efficient vs. premium infrastructure.</li><li>The impact of DeepSeek’s emergence has also sent shockwaves across global markets. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has surged to the top of AI-related downloads on both domestic and overseas iOS App Stores over the weekend, showcasing its super-efficient open-source model (~10k A100) running on a cost-effective compute infrastructure. This milestone has immediately ignited intense debate around the trade-offs between big and small models, open vs. closed-source approaches, and cost-efficient vs. premium infrastructure.The impact of DeepSeek’s emergence has also sent shockwaves across global markets. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Views on DeepSeek

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>Innolight released its 3Q results. Revenue went up by 115.2% YoY/9.4% QoQ, while net profit went up by 104.4% YoY/3.3% QoQ, in-line with our expectations.</li><li>Mgmt. attributed the slower sequential revenue growth (9.4% in 3Q24 vs. 31.3%/23% in 1Q/2Q24) to two main factors: 1) supply chain bottlenecks of key components (like DSPs &amp; EMLs), and 2) unfavorable fluctuations in the USD/RMB exchange rate during 3Q.</li><li>Excluding the impact of exchange rate movements, the company still achieved double-digit revenue growth in 3Q.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innolight released its 3Q results. Revenue went up by 115.2% YoY/9.4% QoQ, while net profit went up by 104.4% YoY/3.3% QoQ, in-line with our expectations.Mgmt. attributed the slower sequential revenue growth (9.4% in 3Q24 vs. 31.3%/23% in 1Q/2Q24) to two main factors: 1) supply chain bottlenecks of key components (like DSPs &amp; EMLs), and 2) unfavorable fluctuations in the USD/RMB exchange rate during 3Q.Excluding the impact of exchange rate movements, the company still achieved double-digit revenue growth in 3Q.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Innolight (300308 CH) - Solid 3Q with Intact Near-Term Prospects; Maintain BUY

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.</li>
<li>We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the 3Q2024 Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine as the exchange changed the rule to only disclose north bound position once a quarter.
We estimate that the inflows in 3Q were US$7,684 million and holdings were USD340bn.
We highlight flows for Midea, Moutai, Ping An Insurance, Catl, Yangtze Power.


Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

China

Zhongji Innolight Co., Ltd. manufactures and distributes industrial machines and machine parts. The Company produces motor stator windings, insulating machines, coil winding equipment, automatic production lines, and more. Zhongji Innolight mainly conducts businesses domestically.

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Zhongji Innolight (300308 CH)

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends - 28 May 2025

China’s major hyperscalers (Alibaba, Tencent, and Baidu, all covered by our internet team) are intensifying their investments in AI infrastructure,...

CMB International

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends

We believe cloud service providers (CSPs) in China are trying to pick up the pace in capex in compute infrastructure to keep up with the relentless...

CMB International

Semiconductors - Thematic Investing and Megatrends: Views on DeepSeek

Chinese AI startup DeepSeek has surged to the top of AI-related downloads on both domestic and overseas iOS App Stores over the weekend, showcasing...

CMB International

Innolight (300308 CH) - Solid 3Q with Intact Near-Term Prospects; Maintain BUY

Innolight released its 3Q results. Revenue went up by 115.2% YoY/9.4% QoQ, while net profit went up by 104.4% YoY/3.3% QoQ, in-line with our...

CMB International

Northbound Flows (3Q2024): Wait and See Mode

We analyzed Northbound connect data for 3Q2024 and highlight flows for Moutai, Midea, Wuliangye, Catl, Gree Electric Appliances.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

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