Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst, Real Estate Foresight

Robert Ciemniak

Founder-CEO & Chief Analyst

Real Estate Foresight

Since 2012, REF has been helping investors with market research, project due diligence, and strategy development. This has ranged from detailed assessments and estimates on distressed developers' project portfolios to market due diligence on specific projects to macro-level questions linked to demand for commodities. The unique combination of the housing markets and developer data from data partner China Index Academy in Beijing, primary research, and technology-powered alternative data collection from public sources result in a valuable content set used in REF analytics and reports.

Predictive Analytics for China Property

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

A commentary on the latest official data on China housing markets from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today and yesterday. Price growth accelerated marginally year-on-year, with a stable growth month-on-month. New home sales (in gross floor area) growth picked up. Land sales (land acquisitions by developers) stayed negative year-to-date year-on-year after the big drop in recent months.

A commentary on the latest official data on China housing markets from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today and yesterday. Price growth accelerated marginally year-on-year, with a stable growth month-on-month. New home sales (in gross floor area) growth picked up. Land sales (land acquisitions by developers) stayed negative year-to-date year-on-year after the big drop in recent months.

China Housing: Volumes Growth Up, Land Sales Down, Prices Up (April NBS Data)

We assume that the growth in the house price index of 100 major cities represents the overall 'portfolio' return and calculate how removing Tier-1, Tier-2, Tier-3/Other cities from the 'portfolio' would have impacted the return for March 2018 - March 2019 and December 2016 - March 2019 periods.

We assume that the growth in the house price index of 100 major cities represents the overall 'portfolio' return and calculate how removing Tier-1, Tier-2, Tier-3/Other cities from the 'portfolio' would have impacted the return for March 2018 - March 2019 and December 2016 - March 2019 periods.

China Housing: If Cities Were... Stocks - How Have City Tiers Impacted Returns In The Recent Years?

Based on March and partial weekly April data, in this monthly China Housing commentary, we give our take on the overall housing market performance, its drivers and the outlook, focusing on housing specific metrics.

Based on March and partial weekly April data, in this monthly China Housing commentary, we give our take on the overall housing market performance, its drivers and the outlook, focusing on housing specific metrics. 

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal, Shenton Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac ECM and Index Rebal

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China Biotech

DZT Research

DZT Research is an independent Asia Pacific equity specialist. Our quantitative research covers index rebalancing flows, alongside exchange data analytics accross Asia Pacific. On the equity capital markets side, we focus on Asia Pacific ECM, especially biotech and TMT. Our lead analyst is frequently cited by international media.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for ICBC, CNOOC, CCB, HKEx, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of September 8th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for ICBC, CNOOC, CCB, HKEx, China Petroleum &amp; Chemical.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 8th): ICBC, CNOOC, CCB, HKEx, China Petroleum & Chemical

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.</li>
<li>We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.</li>
<li>Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.</li>
</ul>


There are 22 adds and 27 deletes for the Hang Seng Composite Index (HSCI) at the September rebalance to take the number of index constituents down to 518.
We expect all 22 inclusions to the HSCI will be added to Stock Connect, while 24 of the 27 HSCI deletions will be removed from Southbound Stock Connect.
Since the end of June, shares held though Southbound Connect have increased on 20 of the 27 HSCI deletions and there could be some unwinding in the next two weeks.


HSCI Index Rebalance: 22 Adds, 27 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

Hong Kong

Zhongliang is principally engaged in real estate development and leasing, focusing on residential and mixed-use commercial properties in Mainland China. The company also provides management consulting services. It was founded in 1993 and is headquartered in Shanghai, People's Republic of China.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zhongliang (2772 HK)

China Housing: Volumes Growth Up, Land Sales Down, Prices Up (April NBS Data)

A commentary on the latest official data on China housing markets from the National Bureau of Statistics (NBS) released today and yesterday. Price...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing: If Cities Were... Stocks - How Have City Tiers Impacted Returns In The Recent Years?

We assume that the growth in the house price index of 100 major cities represents the overall 'portfolio' return and calculate how removing Tier-1,...

Robert Ciemniak

China Housing - April 2019 Commentary

Based on March and partial weekly April data, in this monthly China Housing commentary, we give our take on the overall housing market performance,...

Robert Ciemniak

Hong Kong Connect Flows (Sep 8th): ICBC, CNOOC, CCB, HKEx, China Petroleum & Chemical

We analyzed the Hong Kong Connect Scheme for last week and highlight flows for ICBC, CNOOC, CCB, HKEx, China Petroleum & Chemical.

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HSCI Index Rebalance: 22 Adds, 27 Deletes & Changes to Southbound Stock Connect

There are 22 adds/ 27 deletes for the HSCI in Sep leading to 22 adds/ 24 deletes for Stock Connect. Since end June, shares held though Southbound...

Brian Freitas

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)