Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

Index Rebalance

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Index Rebalance

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/vaneck-gold-miners-etf-usa" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:32924:1" rel="noopener">VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US)</a> has announced a benchmark change from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.</li>
<li>That change will result in a bunch of constituent and weight changes in September. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$3.1bn.</li>
<li>The flow and turnover numbers will change following the June rebalance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index and the September rebalance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.</li>
</ul>


The VanEck Gold Miners ETF/USA (GDX US) has announced a benchmark change from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.
That change will result in a bunch of constituent and weight changes in September. Estimated one-way turnover is 15.8% resulting in a one-way trade of US$3.1bn.
The flow and turnover numbers will change following the June rebalance of the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index and the September rebalance of the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index.


Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): BIG Impact of Benchmark Change

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.7% as of Dec 12th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 1.1ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, energy, information technology and offset by communication services.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, CNOOC, Cgn Power, Baiyunshan Pharma.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 160 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 63.7% as of Dec 12th.
The average A-H premium changed by 1.1ppt week-on-week, led by real estate, energy, information technology and offset by communication services.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank, CNOOC, Cgn Power, Baiyunshan Pharma.


A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 12th): MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

<ul>
<li>We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 5th.</li>
<li>Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.</li>
<li>We highlight short changes in Ubtech Robotics, Innovent Biologics, AIA, Trip.Com.</li>
</ul>


We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 5th.
Top short increases and decreases were tabulated for one week and four week period.
We highlight short changes in Ubtech Robotics, Innovent Biologics, AIA, Trip.Com.


HK Short Interest Weekly: Ubtech Robotics, Innovent Biologics, AIA, Trip.Com

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 12th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, BYD.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 12th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor Technology, BYD.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 12th): Xiaomi Inflows & Tencent/Alibaba Outflows

Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Equity Bottom-Up

Zijin Mining Group Co Ltd H / Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>5-Year Growth: EBITDA doubled to RMB 72.6 bn; production scaled across copper, gold, and lithium through global M&amp;A and low-cost execution.</li>
<li>Capex Plans: USD 10.4 bn over 5 years across copper, lithium, and gold; includes Zijin Gold International spin-off by late 2025.</li>
<li>Zijin is projected to deliver 19–27% CAGR in EBITDA and net profit through 2026, yet trades at just 6.3x 2025E EV/EBITDA — a notable discount to peers trading at 7–8x</li>
</ul>


5-Year Growth: EBITDA doubled to RMB 72.6 bn; production scaled across copper, gold, and lithium through global M&amp;A and low-cost execution.
Capex Plans: USD 10.4 bn over 5 years across copper, lithium, and gold; includes Zijin Gold International spin-off by late 2025.
Zijin is projected to deliver 19–27% CAGR in EBITDA and net profit through 2026, yet trades at just 6.3x 2025E EV/EBITDA — a notable discount to peers trading at 7–8x


Zijin Mining Group: Undervalued, Diversified, and Scaling Fast

China

Zijin Mining Group Company Limited operates metal mineral resources exploration and mining businesses. The Company produces gold, copper, zinc, iron, and other base metals. Zijin Mining Group also conducts metal trade and investment businesses domestically and internationally.

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Zijin Mining Group (601899 CH)

Gold Miners ETF (GDX US): BIG Impact of Benchmark Change

The GDX ETF has announced a benchmark change from the NYSE Arca Gold Miners Index to the MarketVector Global Gold Miners Index. Estimated turnover...

Brian Freitas

A-H Premium Weekly (Dec 12th): MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial Bank

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for MCC, China Merchants Securities, Chongqing Rural Commercial...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Short Interest Weekly: Ubtech Robotics, Innovent Biologics, AIA, Trip.Com

We analyzed the latest HK SFC report for aggregate short position as of Dec 5th and highlight short interest changes in Ubtech Robotics, Innovent...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 12th): Xiaomi Inflows & Tencent/Alibaba Outflows

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB, Alibaba, Zhejiang Leapmotor...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Zijin Mining Group: Undervalued, Diversified, and Scaling Fast

In May 2025, Zijin Mining considered halting operations at its Kyzyl-Tashtyg zinc-lead mine in Russia due to sanctions and banking restrictions,...

Rahul Jain

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