Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul>
<li>Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.</li>
<li>Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.</li>
<li>Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. </li>
</ul>


Zinc market tone for 2025 is cautious, with most producers guiding flat to lower volumes as concentrate supply remains tight and benchmark TCs hit 50-year lows.
Glencore, Teck, and South32 are dialing back output, while Korea Zinc is facing margin compression. Boliden is raising output via acquisitions and restarts, but still faces integration and cost risks.
Hindustan Zinc stands apart—delivering growth, industry-best 53% EBITDA margins, and sub-$1,000/t cost targets, making it a margin fortress in a soft market. 


Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

Asia L/S Equity PM/Macro/Thematic Idea Generation

Rikki Malik

Commodities

<ul>
<li>The current macro environment has elements of both the 1970's and mid-2000s commodity bull market</li>
<li>Investor interest and allocation to this asset class is still minimal</li>
<li>A rising cost of capital globally favours a move out of long duration into real assets</li>
</ul>


The current macro environment has elements of both the 1970's and mid-2000s commodity bull market
Investor interest and allocation to this asset class is still minimal
A rising cost of capital globally favours a move out of long duration into real assets


2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Hot Topics in Global Metals & Mining Each Week, BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

Hot Topics in Global Metals & Mining Each Week

Featuring Colin Hamilton, Commodities analyst at BMO Capital Markets, Metal Matters discusses the hot topics in Global Metals & Mining each week.

<ul><li>Despite initial concerns about tariffs and policy uncertainty hurting global economy, many major metals have seen significant price gains this year</li><li>Tariffs have been implemented, but manufacturers have absorbed costs in margins rather than passing them on to consumers</li><li>Despite signs of economic strain in recent data, commodity prices remain strong due to US dollar weakness making commodities more affordable for importing countries</li></ul>This content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Despite initial concerns about tariffs and policy uncertainty hurting global economy, many major metals have seen significant price gains this yearTariffs have been implemented, but manufacturers have absorbed costs in margins rather than passing them on to consumersDespite signs of economic strain in recent data, commodity prices remain strong due to US dollar weakness making commodities more affordable for importing countriesThis content is sourced through publicly available sources and has been machine generated. Information displayed is for general informational purposes only.

Data-Driven Commodity Research, The Commodity Report

The Commodity Report

Data-Driven Commodity Research

A unique newsletter about commodities and macro analysis in a weekly format.

<ul><li>FAO's meat price index hit a new all-time high of 127.3 points, up 1.2% from its previous peak in June, as strong import demand from China and the United States boosted beef and sheep meat prices, the agency said.</li><li>U.S. beef imports have climbed after drought led to a decline in the domestic cattle herd.</li><li>Looking at the latest futures prices, live cattle, feeder cattle and even lean hogs remain in a strong uptrend with a significant backwardation remaining within the forward curve.</li></ul>

FAO's meat price index hit a new all-time high of 127.3 points, up 1.2% from its previous peak in June, as strong import demand from China and the United States boosted beef and sheep meat prices, the agency said.U.S. beef imports have climbed after drought led to a decline in the domestic cattle herd.Looking at the latest futures prices, live cattle, feeder cattle and even lean hogs remain in a strong uptrend with a significant backwardation remaining within the forward curve.

<ul><li>The FAO Food Price Index rose to 128.3 points in April 2025, up 1.2 points from March.</li><li>Increases in the cereal, dairy and meat price indices outweighed decreases in those of sugar and vegetable oils.</li><li>Overall, the FFPI was 9.0 points (7.6%) higher than its level a year ago but remained 31.9 points (19.9%) below its peak reached in March 2022.</li></ul>

The FAO Food Price Index rose to 128.3 points in April 2025, up 1.2 points from March.Increases in the cereal, dairy and meat price indices outweighed decreases in those of sugar and vegetable oils.Overall, the FFPI was 9.0 points (7.6%) higher than its level a year ago but remained 31.9 points (19.9%) below its peak reached in March 2022.

Dairy and Food Oil Prices Continue to Push Food Prices Higher

United States

Zinc is a bluish-white, silvery metal used in various applications, including galvanizing to protect other metals from corrosion. It's also a crucial trace mineral for human health. As a commodity, zinc is known for its low melting point, good thermal and electrical conductivity, and is often used in industries like automotive, chemical, and electrical.

Price Gauge
52-week Range	0.00 - 0.00
Market Cap (USDm)	0.00
P/E	0.00
Dividend (Yield)	0.00

Zinc (ZINC COMDTY)

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Why a basket of commodity producers provide a good risk reward for any portfolio looking to get a real return. Underowned and unloved!

Rikki Malik

Debating a New Up-Cycle

- Metal prices have seen gains, with gold, silver, and platinum performing well, while coal, zinc, and nickel struggle, US tariffs are in place...

BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

Meat Prices Rise and Rise and Rise

Looking at the latest futures prices, live cattle, feeder cattle and even lean hogs remain in a strong uptrend with a significant backwardation...

The Commodity Report

Dairy and Food Oil Prices Continue to Push Food Prices Higher

Overall, the FFPI was 9.0 points (7.6%) higher than its level a year ago but remained 31.9 points (19.9%) below its peak reached in March 2022.

The Commodity Report

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

Zinc’s Cycle Turns: Will Supply Outpace Demand?

​2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...

Rahul Jain

2026 High Conviction Idea: Our Basket of Commodity Equities Will Outperform Broad Equity Indices

Why a basket of commodity producers provide a good risk reward for any portfolio looking to get a real return. Underowned and unloved!

Rikki Malik

Debating a New Up-Cycle

- Metal prices have seen gains, with gold, silver, and platinum performing well, while coal, zinc, and nickel struggle, US tariffs are in place...

BMO Equity Research Metal Matters

Meat Prices Rise and Rise and Rise

Looking at the latest futures prices, live cattle, feeder cattle and even lean hogs remain in a strong uptrend with a significant backwardation...

The Commodity Report

Dairy and Food Oil Prices Continue to Push Food Prices Higher

Overall, the FFPI was 9.0 points (7.6%) higher than its level a year ago but remained 31.9 points (19.9%) below its peak reached in March 2022.

The Commodity Report

2025 zinc market cautious as producers cut output due to tight supply and low benchmark TCs, Hindustan Zinc stands out with strong growth and...