IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

Equity Capital Markets

Sany Heavy Industry / Equity Capital Markets

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>, the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.</li>
<li>I discussed the H Share listing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/sany-heavy-industry-h-share-listing-the-investment-case" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:205839" rel="noopener">SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case</a>. 
</li>
<li>The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH), the world’s third-largest construction machinery company, has launched an H Share listing to raise US$1.6 billion.
I discussed the H Share listing in SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing: The Investment Case. 

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.


SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a>'s IPO price range is set at HK$20.3-21.3, aiming at raising HK$11.9bn based on the mid-point IPO price.</li>
<li>Key strengths are excellent growth potential globally, a leading market position, excellent R&amp;D capability, and a solid financial track record.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy's fair valuation is a 5-10% discount to its A-share, in our view, implying an H-share price of HK$22.06-23.29, leaving limited upside from the IPO level.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)'s IPO price range is set at HK$20.3-21.3, aiming at raising HK$11.9bn based on the mid-point IPO price.
Key strengths are excellent growth potential globally, a leading market position, excellent R&amp;D capability, and a solid financial track record.
Sany Heavy's fair valuation is a 5-10% discount to its A-share, in our view, implying an H-share price of HK$22.06-23.29, leaving limited upside from the IPO level.


Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Thematic (Sector/Industry)

<ul><li>China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released over the weekend the full set of construction machinery sales data for Sep.</li><li>Domestic sales of nonearth-moving machinery saw good recovery of sales, suggesting an early sign of the beginning of upcycle (earth-moving machinery upcycle began in 2024).</li><li>Domestic sales of truck cranes and crawler cranes were particular strong (+41%/+67% YoY), while forklift sales remained resilient. </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released over the weekend the full set of construction machinery sales data for Sep.Domestic sales of nonearth-moving machinery saw good recovery of sales, suggesting an early sign of the beginning of upcycle (earth-moving machinery upcycle began in 2024).Domestic sales of truck cranes and crawler cranes were particular strong (+41%/+67% YoY), while forklift sales remained resilient. Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Capital Goods - Recovery of Non-Earth Moving Machinery Sales in Sep Suggests Early Sign of Upcycle

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sany-heavy-industry-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:20183:1" rel="noopener">Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH)</a> aims to raise around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing.</li>
<li>Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.</li>
<li>We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.</li>
</ul>



Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) aims to raise around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing.
Sany Heavy Industry was the world’s third largest and China’s largest construction machinery company in terms of construction machinery’s cumulative revenue from 2020 to 2024, according to Frost &amp; Sullivan.
We have looked at the past performance and likely A/H premium in our previous note. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.


Sany Heavy Industries A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Oct 17th.</li>
<li>The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, real estate, materials.</li>
<li>We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Southern Airlines.</li>
</ul>


We analyse the changes of A-H premium on 157 stocks over the last week. The average A-H premium was 61.1% as of Oct 17th.
The average A-H premium changed by 3.0ppt week-on-week, led by information technology, real estate, materials.
We highlight weekly changes in A-H premium for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences, China Southern Airlines.


A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

China

Zoomlion Heavy Industry Science and Technology Co., Ltd.manufactures and markets construction machinery.  The Company's products include concrete machinery, cranes, road machinery, drilling equipment, and other heavy construction equipment.  Zoomlion also produces environmental machinery and satellite navigation products.

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Zoomlion Heavy Industry S A (000157 CH)

Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Capital Goods - Recovery of Non-Earth Moving Machinery Sales in Sep Suggests Early Sign of Upcycle

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released over the weekend the full set of construction machinery sales data for Sep.

CMB International

Sany Heavy Industries A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) aims to raise around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Price Gauge

52-week Range

Market Cap (USDm)

P/E

Dividend (Yield)

SANY Heavy Industry H Share Listing (6031 HK): Valuation Insights

The proposed AH discount of 17.2% to 13.1% (based on the 17 October A Share price) is attractive, and I would participate in the H Share listing.

Arun George

Sany Heavy Industry IPO: Valuation Assessment

​Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...

Osbert Tang, CFA

Capital Goods - Recovery of Non-Earth Moving Machinery Sales in Sep Suggests Early Sign of Upcycle

China Construction Machinery Association (CCMA) released over the weekend the full set of construction machinery sales data for Sep.

CMB International

Sany Heavy Industries A/H IPO Pricing - Thoughts on Valuations

Sany Heavy Industry (600031 CH) aims to raise around US$1.6bn in its H-share listing. In this note, we talk about the IPO pricing.

Sumeet Singh

A-H Premium Weekly (Oct 17th): Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi Biosciences

We analyzed A-H premium changes in the past week and highlight A-H premium changes for Hua Hong Semiconductor, Sinotrans, Shanghai Junshi...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Sany Heavy's IPO price range is HK$20.3-21.3, with key strengths in global growth potential, market position, R&D capability, and financial track...