Global TMT Analyst, Ex-PM, 30 years experience

Neil Campling

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>SAMR would draw out review process for too long for a deal to be approved</li>
<li>Intel faces an existential crisis and even the new Foundry division has issues</li>
<li>A theoretical deal would have little financial synergy and destroy Qualcomm's gross margins</li>
</ul>


SAMR would draw out review process for too long for a deal to be approved
Intel faces an existential crisis and even the new Foundry division has issues
A theoretical deal would have little financial synergy and destroy Qualcomm's gross margins


Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

External broker reports(aggregated public sources), CMB International

CMB International

External broker reports(aggregated public sources)

Incorporated in Hong Kong, supported by the mainland and targeting in global market, CMB International Capital Corporation Limited (“CMBI”) is an integrated financial institution providing comprehensive and professional services. As a wholly-owned subsidiary of China Merchants Bank ("CMB"), by leveraging on the Group’s synergy and coordination in domestic and overseas markets, as well as CMB’s strong resources and outstanding social reputation, CMBI and its subsidiaries have been actively implementing diversified business strategies and set up an overall layout of main business segments including Corporate Finance, Asset Management, Wealth Management, Global Markets and Structured Finance, etc. Adhering to the philosophy of “being clients oriented and increasing our own values by the way of creating value for clients”, CMBI endeavors to provide quality and integrated financial services to institutional, corporate and individual customers both domestic and overseas including Hong Kong IPO sponsorship and underwriting, share placement and rights issue for listed companies, financial advisors, bonds issuance services, asset management, direct investment, wealth management, equity sales and trading, etc.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul><li>ZTE’s announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H24.</li><li>Despite the headwinds from declining capex of domestic telcos for ZTE’s carrier business, non-carrier businesses managed to grew double-digits (14.3% and 56.1% YoY growth in consumer and gov’t/enterprise segments).</li><li>On a quarterly basis, Q2 revenue increased by 1.1% YoY / 4.4% QoQ, while net profit increased by 5.7% YoY / 9.1% QoQ. GPM declined sequentially to 39%, mainly due to unfavorable product mix (i.e., lower contribution from high-margin carrier segment). </li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTE’s announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H24.Despite the headwinds from declining capex of domestic telcos for ZTE’s carrier business, non-carrier businesses managed to grew double-digits (14.3% and 56.1% YoY growth in consumer and gov’t/enterprise segments).On a quarterly basis, Q2 revenue increased by 1.1% YoY / 4.4% QoQ, while net profit increased by 5.7% YoY / 9.1% QoQ. GPM declined sequentially to 39%, mainly due to unfavorable product mix (i.e., lower contribution from high-margin carrier segment). Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

<ul><li>ZTE announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H2.</li><li>Despite the headwinds from declining capex of domestic telcos for ZTE’s carrier business, non-carrier businesses managed to grew double-digits (14.3% and 56.1% YoY growth in consumer and govt/enterprise segments).</li><li>On a quarterly basis, 2Q24 revenue increased by 1.1% YoY / 4.4% QoQ, while net profit increased by 5.7% YoY / 9.1% QoQ.</li></ul>Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

ZTE announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H2.Despite the headwinds from declining capex of domestic telcos for ZTE’s carrier business, non-carrier businesses managed to grew double-digits (14.3% and 56.1% YoY growth in consumer and govt/enterprise segments).On a quarterly basis, 2Q24 revenue increased by 1.1% YoY / 4.4% QoQ, while net profit increased by 5.7% YoY / 9.1% QoQ.Content is external broker report sourced from online content aggregator through publicly available sources and is displayed below for general informational purposes only. Refer full disclaimer below.

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.</li>
<li>We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Shanghai/Shenzhen northbound Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of July 26th.
We estimate the weekly outflows to be US$1,578.2 million, led by consumer staples, information technology, financials, and offset by consumer discretionary, health care, utilities.
We highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology.


Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One, Periscope Analytics

Brian Freitas

Pan-Asia Index Rebalances/ Events/ Delta One

Periscope Analytics

Periscope Analytics focuses on event-driven trades across Asia Pacific and provides comprehensive, timely and systematic coverage of index changes to major Asia Pacific indices in a structured manner.

The analysis includes forecasted inclusions and exclusions to all major Asian indices that have significant amount of tracking assets, including estimates of passive buy/sell flow on the stocks. The service also provides commentary and impact of market consultations, ground rule changes, and other events (IPOs, spin-offs, M&A) that could lead to index changes and passive flow.

Periscope Analytics works with multi-strategy hedge funds, proprietary trading firms, stat arb trading groups and long-only investors that invest and trade in the Asia Pacific region with the data being used to trade index rebalances, avoid pre-positioning and passive flow, and to time entry into and exit from stocks.

Event-Driven Trades Across Asia Pacific

<ul>
<li>A month out from cutoff for the September rebalance, we see one potential change for the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ishares-china-large-cap-etf" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:766:1" rel="noopener">iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US)</a>. </li>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tower-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27037:1" rel="noopener">China Tower (788 HK)</a> is a potential inclusion while <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a> should be deleted from the ETF.</li>
<li>Shorts have been dropping in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-tower-corp-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:27037:1" rel="noopener">China Tower (788 HK)</a> and are near their lows while increasing in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/china-international-capital-corporation-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1071:1" rel="noopener">China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK)</a>. </li>
</ul>


A month out from cutoff for the September rebalance, we see one potential change for the iShares China Large-Cap (FXI) (FXI US). 

China Tower (788 HK) is a potential inclusion while China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK) should be deleted from the ETF.
Shorts have been dropping in China Tower (788 HK) and are near their lows while increasing in China International Capital Corporation (3908 HK). 


FXI Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One More Possible

China

ZTE Corporation develops and markets switches, access servers, videoconferencing systems, mobile communication systems, data communication devices, and optical communication devices.  The Company also offers networking solutions for setup, refurbishment and optimization of networks.

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ZTE Corp H (763 HK)

Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...

Neil Campling

ZTE (000063 CH) - Mixed 1H24 Results

ZTE’s announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H24.

CMB International

ZTE (763 HK) - Mixed 1H24 Results

The stock is currently trading at 7x 2024E P/E, 1-SD below its 3-year historical avg. Maintain BUY rating with adjusted TP at HK$22.17.

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FXI Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One More Possible

There should be 1 change for the FXI ETF in Sep. There could be another change if Wuxi Apptec underperforms some of the other stocks by 3% over the...

Brian Freitas

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Tech M&A: Qualcomm for Intel? No Chance. Here's Why.

​China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...

Neil Campling

ZTE (000063 CH) - Mixed 1H24 Results

ZTE’s announced 1H24 results. Revenue increased by 2.9% YoY to RMB62.5bn, while net profit grew by 4.8% YoY to RMB5.7bn in 1H24.

CMB International

ZTE (763 HK) - Mixed 1H24 Results

The stock is currently trading at 7x 2024E P/E, 1-SD below its 3-year historical avg. Maintain BUY rating with adjusted TP at HK$22.17.

CMB International

Northbound Flows (Jul 26th): Zijin Mining, Moutai, Zhongji Innolight, Wuliangye, Boe Technology

We analyzed northbound Shanghai/Shenzhen connect flows in the past week and highlight flows for Zijin Mining, Moutai, CATL, Zhongji Innolight,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

FXI Rebalance Preview: One High Probability Change; One More Possible

There should be 1 change for the FXI ETF in Sep. There could be another change if Wuxi Apptec underperforms some of the other stocks by 3% over the...

Brian Freitas

China SAMR's lengthy review process would hinder deal approval, Intel's existential crisis includes issues in new Foundry division, theoretical...