Head of Research, IPOs & Placements, Aequitas Research

Sumeet Singh

Head of Research, IPOs & Placements

IPOs and Placements coverage across Asia Pacific

Aequitas Research

We cover all listing across the Asia Pacific along with follow-up placements. As of Dec 2020, our team had covered 539 IPOs with a hit rate of 73.5% and 685 placements with a hit rate of 66.8%.

We combine fundamental bottom-up views with our proprietary quantitative framework to provide a holistic coverage across new listings and placements. Our coverage includes pre-IPO notes before the deal is launched, follow-up analysis once the deal is live and post-listing trading analysis as well.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.</li>
<li>As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.</li>
<li>In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.</li>
</ul>


J&amp;T Global Express, a global logistics provider, raised about US$500m in its Hong Kong IPO in Oct 2023. Its pre-IPO investors will be released from its IPO linked lockup soon.
As per Frost &amp; Sullivan (F&amp;S), the firm is the leading express delivery business in Southeast Asia, with a 25.4% market share as per 2023 parcel volume.
In this note, we talk about the upcoming lock-up expiry and possible deal dynamics.


J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech, Aequitas Research

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Asia Pac IPO & Placement Research, China biotech

Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 5th.</li>
<li>The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.</li>
<li>We highlight flows for Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the weekly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine for holding position as of December 5th.
The top stocks by inflows and outflows were tabulated for all market, HSCEI, mid cap and s/mid cap groups.
We highlight flows for Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi, Tencent, CMB.


HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 5th): Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

IPOs and Catalysts/Events, Global Equity Research Ltd

Arun George

IPOs and Catalysts/Events

Uncompromised, Independent, Conflict-Free Research

Global Equity Research Ltd

Global Equity Research was started in 2017 by a group of experienced research professionals. It was founded on a passionate belief in the importance and the need for uncompromised, independent, conflict-free research. We aim to provide differentiated and actionable primary and bottom up fundamental research.

<ul>
<li>The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. </li>
<li>The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). </li>
<li>The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.</li>
</ul>


The consortium has decided NOT to exercise its right to increase the ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) share alternative cap from 5.00% to 7.50% of outstanding shares. 
The positive read-across is that it signals the consortium’s confidence that the vote will pass, as reflected in the quick decision not to lift the cap (deadline was 12 December). 
The negative readacross is that shareholders requesting the scrip option likely exceeded the 7.5% upper threshold, and the consortium is hoping that these shareholders will instead take the mix option.


ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

<ul>
<li>We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.</li>
<li>We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.</li>
<li>We highlight flows of Alibaba, Xiaomi, HSTECH ETF, CNOOC, ICBC.</li>
</ul>


We analyze the monthly Hong Kong Connect flows with our data engine.
We tabulate the top stocks by inflows, outflows, and holding by mainland investors.
We highlight flows of Alibaba, Xiaomi, HSTECH ETF, CNOOC, ICBC.


Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Alibaba, Xiaomi

<ul>
<li>The precondition for the consortium’s privatisation offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ane-cayman-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:35025:1" rel="noopener">ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK)</a> has been satisfied. The right to increase the share alternative cap was also satisfied. </li>
<li>The consortium has until 12 December to decide whether to increase the share cap. The option helps the consortium gain support from shareholders who would not accept the cash offer. </li>
<li>The scheme vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. </li>
</ul>


The precondition for the consortium’s privatisation offer for ANE Cayman Inc (9956 HK) has been satisfied. The right to increase the share alternative cap was also satisfied. 
The consortium has until 12 December to decide whether to increase the share cap. The option helps the consortium gain support from shareholders who would not accept the cash offer. 
The scheme vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive relative to historical ranges and peer multiples. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. 


China

ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc. operates as an express delivery company. The Company provides express delivery service through their nationwide network, as well as other value-added logistics services. ZTO Express serves customers globally.

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ZTO Express Cayman (2057 HK)

J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

J&T Global Express' IPO linked lockup expired over the weeked. The stock has been correcting over the past few weeks, especially with the CCASS...

Sumeet Singh

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 5th): Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Alibaba, Xiaomi

We estimate inflows into Hong Kong stocks via Southbound connect scheme amount to USD 17.7 bn in November. Inflows were led by Alibaba, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ANE (9956 HK): Precondition Satisfied

The vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. At last close, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%...

Arun George

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J&T Global Express IPO Lock-Up Expiry - Tiny Float with 87%+ Stake Lockup Release Worth >US$8.8bn

J&T Global Express' IPO linked lockup expired over the weeked. The stock has been correcting over the past few weeks, especially with the CCASS...

Sumeet Singh

HK Connect Flows Weekly (Dec 5th): Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining, Xiaomi

We analyzed southbound Hong Kong connect flows in the past week and highlighted flows for Alibaba, Meituan, Pop Mart Intl, SMIC, Zijin Mining,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ANE (9956 HK): Tempting Fate Through an Unchanged Share Alternative Cap?

The potential negative read-across from an unchanged share cap and uncertainty regarding CDH's stake have lowered my conviction. Safety first is...

Arun George

Hong Kong Connect Flows (November): Alibaba, Xiaomi

We estimate inflows into Hong Kong stocks via Southbound connect scheme amount to USD 17.7 bn in November. Inflows were led by Alibaba, Xiaomi,...

Ke Yan, CFA, FRM

ANE (9956 HK): Precondition Satisfied

The vote remains low risk, as the offer is attractive. The de-rating of peers is also helpful. At last close, the gross/annualised spread was 5.5%...

Arun George