Earnings Alerts

Aes Corp (AES) Earnings: 1Q Adjusted EPS Falls Short of Expectations Amid Revenue Decline

  • AES Corp reported an adjusted EPS of 27 cents for 1Q 2025, missing the estimated 34 cents and falling from 50 cents year-over-year.
  • Revenue for the quarter was $2.93 billion, a decrease of 5.2% compared to the previous year, and below the estimated $3.12 billion.
  • Capital expenditure amounted to $1.25 billion, a 42% reduction year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of $934 million.
  • AES achieved its full-year 2025 asset sale proceeds target, raising $450 million from the sale of a minority stake in AES Global Insurance Company (AGIC).
  • The company reaffirmed its annualized growth targets of 7% to 9% through 2025 from a 2020 base, and 7% to 9% through 2027 from a 2023 base.
  • AES is also maintaining its expectation for a 5% to 7% annualized growth in Adjusted EBITDA through 2027, based on 2023 guidance.
  • The demand from key corporate customers, particularly hyperscalers, remains strong, with AES positioning as the global market leader.
  • There was significant year-over-year growth in AES’s Renewables and Utilities SBUs, attributed to new projects and higher rate base investment.
  • Analyst recommendations for AES include 10 buys, 4 holds, and 1 sell.

Aes Corp on Smartkarma

Analysts on Smartkarma, like Baptista Research, have been closely monitoring AES Corporation, a key player in the energy industry. According to Baptista Research, the recent earnings report of AES Corporation for 2024 showcased a mix of achievements and challenges. Despite facing setbacks from extreme weather events impacting operations in Colombia and Brazil, AES managed to achieve an adjusted EBITDA of $2.64 billion. The company also reported a parent free cash flow of $1.1 billion and a record adjusted EPS of $2.14, exceeding their guidance range.

Furthermore, Baptista Research highlighted AES Corporation’s positive strides in renewable energy expansion and U.S. utility growth. The analysts acknowledge the company’s strategic progress, although they are mindful of challenges such as severe weather conditions in South America. Baptista Research remains optimistic about AES’s future prospects, reflecting this sentiment in their ‘Buy’ rating. Their evaluation includes factors that could impact the company’s stock price, with an independent valuation conducted using a Discounted Cash Flow methodology.


A look at Aes Corp Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value3
Dividend5
Growth5
Resilience3
Momentum3
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.8

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

According to Smartkarma Smart Scores, Aes Corp stands in a favorable position for long-term growth and stability. With a strong dividend score of 5, investors can expect consistent and attractive returns. Moreover, the company’s growth score of 5 indicates promising potential for expansion and increasing market value over time. While the value and resilience scores stand at 3, suggesting a solid yet balanced standing in terms of investment value and ability to withstand market fluctuations. The momentum score of 3 hints at a steady performance trajectory, indicating a company that is likely to maintain its growth and stability over the long run.

The AES Corporation, a global entity involved in the ownership and operation of various energy generation and distribution assets across multiple countries, showcases a diversified business portfolio. With a strong emphasis on renewable energy and water treatment technologies, AES Corp aims to foster sustainable practices within the energy sector. The company’s strategic focus on long-term contracts and regulated utility operations contributes to its stability and growth potential, aligning with the positive outlook indicated by the Smartkarma Smart Scores.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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