Earnings Alerts

Alaska Air Group (ALK) Earnings: Strong Fourth Quarter Results with Improved EPS and Revenue Projections

By January 23, 2025 No Comments
“`html

  • Alaska Air expects an adjusted loss per share of $0.50 to $0.70 in Q1 2025, compared to an estimated loss of $0.75.
  • The company forecasts a capacity increase of 2.5% to 3.5% for the year.
  • Alaska Air projects adjusted earnings per share (EPS) above $5.75 for the year, with previous expectations set at $5.75, against an estimated $5.97.
  • Q4 2024 results show adjusted EPS was $0.97, a significant rise from $0.30 year-over-year, beating estimates of $0.47.
  • Operating revenue reached $3.53 billion in Q4 2024, marking a 38% increase year-over-year, slightly surpassing the estimated $3.5 billion.
  • Passenger revenue for the quarter was $3.18 billion, a 37% increase year-over-year, just below the estimate of $3.19 billion.
  • Revenue passenger miles amounted to 19.07 billion, up 35% year-over-year, exceeding the estimate of 18.90 billion.
  • Available seat miles were 22.74 billion, a 33% rise year-over-year, surpassing the estimated 21.88 billion.
  • The load factor was steady at 83.8%, matching estimates, and slightly up from 82.9% year-over-year.
  • Revenue per available seat mile (RASM) increased by 3.9% year-over-year to 15.54 cents.
  • The consolidated yield increased by 1.5% year-over-year to 16.67 cents.
  • Alaska Air authorized a $1 billion share buyback program over the next four years, starting January 2025.
  • The company anticipates high-single-digit percentage growth in RASM for Q1 2025 compared to pro forma 2024.
  • For Q1 2025, a change in CASMex percentage is expected to rise by low to mid-single digits compared to pro forma 2024.
  • Pro forma changes for Q4 2024 included a 2.5% increase in capacity (ASM) and a 3.8% growth in traffic (RSM).

“`


Alaska Air Group on Smartkarma



Independent analysts on Smartkarma are bullish on Alaska Air Group, with Baptista Research providing valuable insights into the company’s recent performance and future outlook. In their report titled “Alaska Air Group: Leveraging Oneworld Alliance Partnerships To Up Their Game! – Major Drivers,” Alaska Air Group shared strong second-quarter financial results, including a record $2.9 billion in quarterly revenue driven by premium segments. The company reported a GAAP net income of $220 million and an adjusted net income of $327 million, excluding special items and fuel hedge adjustments.

Furthermore, Baptista Research‘s coverage continued with another positive report, “Alaska Air Group: Initiation Of Coverage – Network Optimization & Capacity Management Efforts Driving Our Optimism! – Major Drivers.” The analysis highlighted the airline’s robust financial and operational performance, emphasizing the strategic efforts in network optimization and capacity management. With a focus on the company’s strong second-quarter results for 2024, Alaska Air Group‘s revenue soared to a record high of $2.9 billion, with substantial contributions from premium travel segments, reinforcing the analysts’ optimism about the company’s future prospects.



A look at Alaska Air Group Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value3
Dividend1
Growth5
Resilience2
Momentum5
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.2

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores, Alaska Air Group shows a promising long-term outlook. With a strong score of 5 in Growth, the company is positioned for potential expansion and increasing market share within the airline industry. Momentum also scored high at 5, indicating the company’s positive trend in stock performance and investor interest.

However, Alaska Air Group scored lower in Dividend and Resilience, with scores of 1 and 2 respectively. This suggests that the company may not be focusing heavily on dividend payouts to shareholders and may have some vulnerabilities to external economic challenges. The Value score at 3 indicates a moderate valuation of the company’s stock compared to its fundamentals.

#### Summary: Alaska Air Group, Inc. is an airline holding company that provides air services to passengers across multiple destinations. The company also offers freight and mail services, with a focus on Alaska and the West Coast. With a strong emphasis on growth and positive momentum, Alaska Air Group is poised for potential expansion in the future. ####


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly.


 

πŸ’‘ Before it’s here, it’s on Smartkarma

Sign Up for Free

The Smartkarma Preview Pass is your entry to the Independent Investment Research Network

  • βœ“ Unlimited Research Summaries
  • βœ“ Personalised Alerts
  • βœ“ Custom Watchlists
  • βœ“ Company Analytics and News
  • βœ“ Events & Webinars