Earnings Alerts

BAE Systems PLC (BA/) Earnings: FY Sales and Earnings Forecasts Remain Robust with 8-10% Growth Expected

By November 12, 2025 No Comments
  • BAE Systems expects an increase in annual sales for 2025 between 8% and 10%.
  • The company anticipates underlying EBIT growth of 9% to 11%.
  • Underlying EPS is expected to rise by 8% to 10%.
  • BAE projects free cash flow to exceed £1.1 billion, potentially reaching £1.59 billion.
  • Full-year 2025 guidance remains unchanged due to strong operational and financial performance.
  • Order intake has been robust, with over £27 billion secured so far, with more agreements expected before year-end.
  • Second-half trading is aligning with initial expectations.
  • The company has not yet been materially affected by the US government shutdown, but continued delays could impact contract funding and payment timing.
  • Anticipates total cash returned to shareholders in 2025 to be approximately £1.5 billion.
  • Analyst recommendations for BAE include 16 buys, 5 holds, and 4 sells.

BAE Systems PLC on Smartkarma

Analysts on Smartkarma, such as Steven Holden, have been closely monitoring BAE Systems PLC, a key player in the UK defense sector. According to Holden’s report titled “BAE Systems: Positioning Rebounds, Underweight Widens,” BAE’s ownership has surged, solidifying its position as a top holding in UK defense portfolios. Despite this, the company remains classified as a significant underweight, posing challenges for fund managers amid escalating global tensions.

Holden points out that BAE Systems’ ownership within UK funds has spiked from 29.4% to 36.7%, its highest level in two years. However, despite its dominance in the UK aerospace and defense market, BAE is still considered the sixth-largest underweight compared to the FTSE All-Share index. As Europe gears up for rearmament and geopolitical uncertainties loom, the company’s underweight status may become increasingly difficult to justify amidst changing market dynamics.


A look at BAE Systems PLC Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value2
Dividend2
Growth3
Resilience3
Momentum3
OVERALL SMART SCORE2.6

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

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BAE Systems PLC, a company specializing in advanced defense and aerospace systems, currently holds a moderate outlook based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores. With a value score of 2 and a dividend score of 2, the company demonstrates stability in its financial metrics. Additionally, scoring a 3 in both growth and resilience as well as momentum, BAE Systems shows promising potential for future development while maintaining a steady posture in the market.

Overall, BAE Systems PLC, a global provider of military aircraft, surface ships, submarines, and various defense systems, presents a balanced profile according to the Smartkarma Smart Scores. With a focus on innovation and client-centric services, the company’s strategic positioning in the defense industry, supported by favorable growth, resilience, and momentum scores, suggests a promising long-term outlook for investors considering involvement in this sector.

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Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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