Earnings Alerts

Idemitsu Kosan (5019) Earnings: 1Q Net Income Surpasses Expectations, Revenue Declines 18% Y/Y

  • Idemitsu’s first-quarter net income was 5.24 billion yen, significantly outperforming an estimated loss of 67.17 billion yen.
  • The company reported an operating loss of 21.02 billion yen, compared to a profit of 122.51 billion yen in the previous year.
  • Net sales amounted to 1.84 trillion yen, an 18% decrease year-over-year, but surpassed the estimated 1.67 trillion yen.
  • Petroleum net sales were 1.52 trillion yen, reflecting a 19% decline from the prior year.
  • Basic Chemicals net sales fell by 24% year-over-year to 121.74 billion yen.
  • Functional Materials net sales slightly decreased by 2.5% to 124.17 billion yen.
  • Power & Renewable Energy realized net sales of 23.65 billion yen, marking a 14% decline.
  • Resources net sales totaled 52.55 billion yen, down 25% from the previous year.
  • For 2026, Idemitsu forecasts operating income of 37.00 billion yen, below the 67 billion yen estimate.
  • The projected net income for 2026 is 50.00 billion yen, less than the estimated 73.99 billion yen.
  • The company anticipates net sales of 7.90 trillion yen in 2026, slightly above the estimate of 7.78 trillion yen.
  • Idemitsu plans to maintain a dividend of 36.00 yen, just below the estimated 38.00 yen.
  • Analyst recommendations include 2 buy ratings and 5 hold ratings, with no sell ratings.

Idemitsu Kosan on Smartkarma

Top independent analyst, Travis Lundy, sheds light on Idemitsu Kosan‘s recent buyback strategy in a research report on Smartkarma. In his report titled “Idemitsu (5019) – Buyback Announced, Executed, To Be Executed Again; Pressure & Timing,” Lundy discusses the implications of Idemitsu’s announcement of a substantial buyback, representing over 20% of the company’s Max Real World Float. However, concerns arise as crossholders may potentially start selling shares in the next fiscal year, adding a layer of pressure on the timing of the buyback. Lundy highlights a pattern in Idemitsu’s buyback strategies over the last few years, with the latest one being unveiled in February.

Lundy emphasizes the importance of understanding the shareholder structure of Idemitsu, noting the existing pressure and potential future developments in May. The report also alludes to a diminishing buyback pressure for one of Idemitsu’s major peers, adding further complexity to the timing and implications of Idemitsu’s buyback program. Investors are advised to closely monitor the tilts and timing of Idemitsu’s buyback execution to navigate potential market movements effectively based on Lundy’s research insights on Smartkarma.


A look at Idemitsu Kosan Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value5
Dividend5
Growth2
Resilience2
Momentum2
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.2

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Analysts at Smartkarma have provided insights into the long-term outlook for Idemitsu Kosan Co., Ltd., a company involved in the exploration, importation, refining, and distribution of petroleum and related products, as well as the manufacturing and selling of petrochemical products. Based on the Smart Scores, Idemitsu Kosan has secured top scores of 5 in both Value and Dividend metrics, indicating strong performance in these areas. However, the company has received lower scores of 2 for Growth, Resilience, and Momentum, suggesting a more cautious outlook in terms of its growth potential and overall market performance.

Investors interested in Idemitsu Kosan may find the company appealing for its solid value and dividend prospects. While the growth, resilience, and momentum scores are not as strong, the high scores in value and dividend metrics could still make it an attractive long-term investment option for those seeking stability and income generation.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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