- Origin Energy maintains its forecast for Energy Markets underlying EBITDA between A$1.40 billion and A$1.70 billion for fiscal year 2025.
- The company’s APLNG production is expected to remain between 635 to 680 petajoules on a 100% basis.
- Origin Energy reaffirms its guidance for fiscal year 2026, as provided in August.
- The cost to serve is expected to improve by A$50 million to A$100 million, aligning with the targeted total savings of A$100 million to A$150 million by FY26.
- Origin’s share of Octopus Energy’s Underlying EBITDA is predicted to increase, ranging from A$0 to A$150 million.
- Gains from Origin LNG Trading are forecasted to be between A$100 million and A$150 million in FY26.
- The current analyst recommendations include three buys, seven holds, and two sells.
- All comparisons are based on historical values reported from the company’s original disclosures.
Origin Energy on Smartkarma
Origin Energy has been under the spotlight of analysts on Smartkarma, a platform where independent analysts share their research. One recent report by FNArena, titled “Origin Energy Ltd – Next Week At A Glance – 14-18 Jul 2025,” provides a bullish perspective on the company. The report, authored by FNArena, offers insights into important company events and economic data releases for the upcoming week. This positive sentiment from FNArena indicates optimism about Origin Energy‘s future prospects.
A look at Origin Energy Smart Scores
| Factor | Score | Magnitude |
|---|---|---|
| Value | 3 | |
| Dividend | 4 | |
| Growth | 4 | |
| Resilience | 3 | |
| Momentum | 3 | |
| OVERALL SMART SCORE | 3.4 |
Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma
Based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores, Origin Energy appears to have a positive long-term outlook. With above-average scores in Dividend, Growth, and Resilience, the company shows signs of stability and potential for growth. A strong dividend score indicates that Origin Energy may provide attractive returns to investors seeking income, while the growth and resilience scores suggest that the company has the ability to expand its operations steadily and withstand market challenges.
Origin Energy‘s diversified business model, which includes energy retailing, generation, renewable energy, and LNG interests, positions it well for future sustainability and growth. While its overall score may not be the highest across all factors, the combination of solid scores in key areas bodes well for the company’s ability to navigate the evolving energy landscape and deliver value to its stakeholders.
Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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