Earnings Alerts

Royal Caribbean Cruises (RCL) Earnings: Q4 EPS Forecast Below Estimates Amid Strong Revenue Growth

By October 28, 2025 No Comments
  • Royal Caribbean’s fourth-quarter adjusted EPS forecast is between $2.74 and $2.79, falling short of the $2.90 estimate.
  • For the third quarter, Royal Caribbean reported revenue of $5.14 billion, up 5.2% compared to last year, but slightly below the $5.17 billion forecast.
  • Adjusted EPS for the third quarter was $5.75, exceeding both the previous year’s $5.20 and the estimated $5.68.
  • Occupancy rates reached 112.1%, above last year’s 111% and beating the 111.4% estimate.
  • The number of passenger cruise days was 15.36 million, marking a 3.9% year-over-year increase and surpassing the 15.25 million estimate.
  • Total cruise operating expenses were $2.48 billion, up 3.7% year-over-year, coming in just under the $2.52 billion estimate.
  • Available Passenger Cruise Days (APCD) were at 13.70 million, showing a 2.9% year-over-year growth, aligning with projections.
  • The company has increased its full-year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance to a range of $15.58 to $15.63, indicating a 32% growth year-over-year.
  • The current forecast considers factors such as fuel pricing, interest rates, and currency exchange rates.
  • The company has 19 buy ratings, 7 hold ratings, and 1 sell rating from analysts.

Royal Caribbean Cruises on Smartkarma



Analyst coverage of Royal Caribbean Cruises on Smartkarma reveals optimistic sentiments from Baptista Research analysts. In a report titled “Royal Caribbean Group: Optimization of Loyalty Programs to Build Stronger Relationships With Guests!” the company’s strong performance in the second quarter of 2025 is highlighted. Key financial metrics showed significant improvements driven by consumer demand and operational enhancements. Adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations at $4.38, marking a 36% increase compared to the previous year. A notable 5.2% growth in net yields was attributed to robust close-in bookings and contributions from the fleet.

In another report by Baptista Research, “Royal Caribbean Group: Will Its Market Expansion Into The Vacation Industry Help Expand Footprint Beyond Traditional Cruising?” the first-quarter 2025 results were discussed. Despite potential macroeconomic challenges, the company delivered strong performance, surpassing guidance with adjusted earnings per share of $2.71. Consumer demand and pricing played significant roles in this outperformance, especially with close-in bookings exceeding past trends. The analysts’ bullish lean indicates a positive outlook for Royal Caribbean’s future growth and strategic initiatives in the vacation industry.



A look at Royal Caribbean Cruises Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value2
Dividend2
Growth5
Resilience3
Momentum3
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.0

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores, Royal Caribbean Cruises shows a promising long-term outlook. With strong scores in Growth, Resilience, and Momentum, the company is positioned well for future success. The high Growth score indicates potential for expansion and increasing market share, while the Resilience score suggests that the company is equipped to weather economic downturns or industry challenges. Additionally, the Momentum score indicates positive market sentiment and investor interest in the company’s performance.

Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. is a global cruise company known for operating a diverse fleet of vessels catering to different segments of the cruise vacation industry. With a focus on contemporary, premium, and deluxe offerings, the company serves a wide range of customers from budget-conscious to luxury-seeking travelers. The balanced scores in Value and Dividend, combined with the strong Growth, Resilience, and Momentum scores, paint a favorable picture of Royal Caribbean Cruises‘ long-term prospects in the cruising industry.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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