Earnings Alerts

RTL Group SA (RTL) Earnings: FY Adjusted EBITDA Forecast Falls Short of Estimates Amid Advertising Market Challenges

By November 18, 2025 No Comments
  • RTL’s full-year adjusted EBITA forecast is €650 million, missing both previous expectations of €780 million and an estimate of €756.8 million.
  • Revenue projections for 2025 have been adjusted to between €6 billion and €6.1 billion, down from an earlier expectation of about €6.45 billion, yet still above the estimate of €6.38 billion.
  • For the first nine months, RTL reported a revenue of €4.12 billion, which is a 2.2% decline compared to the same period last year.
  • The third-quarter revenue was €1.34 billion, falling short of the €1.38 billion projected in two estimates.
  • RTS attributed the reduced revenue and EBITA outlook to a decline in the German and French TV advertising markets.
  • Despite the adjustments, RTL expects a full-year total group profit of approximately €1 billion.
  • The company has confirmed its medium-term adjusted EBITA target of €1 billion.
  • Regulatory approval for RTL’s acquisition of Sky Deutschland is ongoing, with the deal expected to close in the first half of 2026.

RTL Group SA on Smartkarma

Analysts on Smartkarma are closely monitoring RTL Group SA as discussed by Baptista Research. In a recent report titled “RTL Group: Why This Media Giant’s AI Strategy Could Provide A Much-Needed Competitive Edge!,” the analysts emphasized the company’s financial results for the fiscal year 2024. Despite facing challenges in key markets like Germany and France, RTL Group demonstrated resilience and a cautiously positive outlook. The report highlighted the company’s transition from a traditional broadcasting model to a more diverse media and tech entity, showcasing successful management strategies that contributed to sustained growth.


A look at RTL Group SA Smart Scores

FactorScoreMagnitude
Value3
Dividend4
Growth3
Resilience3
Momentum3
OVERALL SMART SCORE3.2

Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma

Based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores, RTL Group SA shows a promising long-term outlook. With solid scores across key factors such as Value, Dividend, Growth, Resilience, and Momentum, the company appears well-rounded in various aspects. The scores indicate a positive overall outlook for RTL Group SA, suggesting a favorable position in the market.

RTL Group SA, a multimedia company, operates television and radio stations across Europe, produces diverse programming, and manages online platforms. Additionally, the company engages in distributing movies, co-producing feature films, selling broadcast rights for sporting events, and providing entertainment online. With its balanced Smart Scores, RTL Group SA seems poised for sustained growth and stability in the long term.


Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
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