- Walmart‘s 2026 adjusted EPS forecast is $2.50 to $2.60, below the estimated $2.77.
- The company expects net sales to increase by 3% to 4% in 2026.
- First quarter 2026 adjusted EPS is forecasted at 57c to 58c, lower than the 65c estimate.
- First quarter 2026 sales are also expected to grow by 3% to 4%.
- Walmart‘s fourth-quarter US comparable sales, excluding gas, increased by 4.9%, surpassing the 4.66% estimate.
- Comparable sales at Walmart-only US stores hit 4.6%, above the 4.36% estimate.
- Sam’s Club US comparable sales, excluding gas, jumped by 6.8%, outperforming the 4.99% estimate.
- Fourth-quarter adjusted EPS was 66c, slightly above the 65c estimate.
- US e-commerce sales grew by 20%, exceeding the 17.9% growth estimate.
- Sam’s Club e-commerce sales surged by 24%, well above the 11.7% estimate.
- The CEO notes a planned net sales growth in constant currency for FY26 led by Walmart International markets such as China, Walmex, and Canada.
- FY26 adjusted operating income is expected to grow between 3.5% and 5.5%, despite a 150 basis point headwind due to the VIZIO acquisition and leap year factors.
- The adjusted EPS of 66c includes currency headwinds and costs related to the VIZIO acquisition.
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Walmart on Smartkarma
Analyst coverage of Walmart on Smartkarma reveals a mix of bullish and bearish sentiments from independent research providers. Baptista Research‘s report, “Walmartβs Secret Weapons: How Grocery Dominance and Digital Innovation Are Reshaping Retail! – Major Drivers,” highlights Walmart‘s strong growth in sales and profits in the third quarter of fiscal year 2025. Key drivers include significant increases in e-commerce sales, advertising, and membership income, indicating Walmart‘s effective cost management and operational efficiency.
On the other hand, Tech Supply Chain Tracker presents a bearish view in their report, emphasizing the challenges the US faces in expanding nuclear power and the focus on low-carbon power in Taiwan. Despite the optimism surrounding sustainability efforts in green energy projects, concerns about maintaining e-commerce profitability amid AI integration persist, as discussed in Baptista Research‘s second report on Walmart Inc.’s fiscal year 2025 second quarter earnings.
A look at Walmart Smart Scores
| Factor | Score | Magnitude |
|---|---|---|
| Value | 2 | |
| Dividend | 2 | |
| Growth | 4 | |
| Resilience | 3 | |
| Momentum | 5 | |
| OVERALL SMART SCORE | 3.2 |
Smart Score is a compound score for the Company indicating its overall outlook. It is derived by taking an equally weighted average of underlying Factor scores computed by Smartkarma
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Based on the Smartkarma Smart Scores, Walmart shows a positive long-term outlook. With a Growth score of 4 and Momentum score of 5, the company demonstrates strong potential for expansion and market performance. These scores indicate that Walmart is well-positioned to achieve growth in the future and has positive momentum in the market.
While the Value and Dividend scores are moderate at 2, and the Resilience score stands at 3, the overall outlook for Walmart remains optimistic. The company’s diverse range of offerings, including apparel, household essentials, pharmaceuticals, and more, coupled with its global customer base, provides a solid foundation for continued success in the industry.
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Disclaimer: This article by Smartkarma is general in nature and based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. Note that our articles may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material.
While all reasonable care has been taken in the preparation, Smartkarma makes no assurance about the accuracy of any generated data or content. All content is indicative only and should be independently checked for accuracy and confirmed before use. Smartkarma accepts no responsibility for any loss or damage caused as a result of any inaccuracy or error within the Lab online tools or generated data.
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