Equity Research Analyst - Long-Short

Raj S, CA, CFA

I am Raj - CA and CFA. A Buy-side analyst.

I cover BFSI, Autos, Tech, AI and several other sectors across geographies.
   
I am a CA and CFA, with 10+ years experience in fundamental equity research across buy-side and sell-side and across geographies.

My research process is primarily focused on the catalysts which would have a direct impact on a stocks fundamental performance and market valuation. These days, I look for names which have a clear mis-pricing evident in its valuation vs. fundamental business moats/ growth/ NAV. Fortunately, there are always such stories around. More importantly, the timeline of when the mis-pricing is resolved and what triggers this resolution is what interests me.

FUTU: Strong Traction Expected from Crypto Regulatory Push in HK and ASEAN

Primer: Futu Holdings Ltd (FUTU US) - Dec 2025

Futu Holdings Limited (FUTU) - Sunday, Jun 2, 2024

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>FUTU's risk-reward is asymmetric:  Structurally low valuation, active consensus upgrades and a near-term catalyst (HK crypto VATP license), which can boost further upgrades (2026e) sets up a compelling long entry.</li>
<li>HK-VATP enables FUTU to expand its crypto related revenues, product offerings and margins, and remove third-party dependency. With crypto &lt;2% assets, this new earnings leg is entirely absent from consensus.</li>
<li>FUTU’s pullback to ~15.6x FY2 P/E puts it at the bottom of a ~15x-25x - reasonable valuation band. With upgrades and catalysts ahead, it stands as a strong rerating candidate.</li>
</ul>


FUTU's risk-reward is asymmetric:  Structurally low valuation, active consensus upgrades and a near-term catalyst (HK crypto VATP license), which can boost further upgrades (2026e) sets up a compelling long entry.
HK-VATP enables FUTU to expand its crypto related revenues, product offerings and margins, and remove third-party dependency. With crypto &lt;2% assets, this new earnings leg is entirely absent from consensus.
FUTU’s pullback to ~15.6x FY2 P/E puts it at the bottom of a ~15x-25x - reasonable valuation band. With upgrades and catalysts ahead, it stands as a strong rerating candidate.


2026 High Conviction Idea - FUTU US - 3Q25 Beat and Bottom-Of-Range Valuation Creates Strong Upside