HK/China Equity Long-Short

Osbert Tang, CFA

Osbert Tang is an equity analyst with over 20 years of experience with focuses on China transport, infrastructure, industrials and utilities sectors. He has been based in Shanghai since 2003, accumulated nearly 20 years of on-ground knowledge on the Chinese economy and financial markets, and has a wealth of contacts with China corporates and government entities. 

Osbert has received votes from top-tier institutional investors and has been a highly-ranked transport and infrastructure analyst in the Asiamoney, Institutional Investors and Greenwich surveys. In addition to his extensive experience with international investment banks including RBS, ABN AMRO (both served as Shanghai Chief Representative), Paribas Asia Equity, Maybank Kim Eng and DBS Securities, he has been a senior analyst with Moody’s Investors Service with focus on ratings of China infrastructure and related LGFV issuers. He has also worked in the area of strategic development at Sun Hung Kai Properties Limited. 

Osbert holds a BBA from the Chinese University of Hong Kong, an MBA from the University of Texas at Austin and a MSSc in Applied Psychology from the City University of Hong Kong. He was accredited with the CFA charter in 1997, and is a member of both British Psychological Society and Hong Kong Psychological Society.

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Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/meituan" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26970:1" rel="noopener">Meituan (3690 HK)</a>'s FY25 profit warning indicated its overall loss and loss for the Core Local Commerce segment have narrowed sequentially in 4Q25.   </li>
<li>While it will remain in the red in 1Q26, the government's anti-involution benefits will filter through in the next few quarters, underpinning a return to profit. </li>
<li>Its FY27 PER of 14.1x is inexpensive relative to bigger peers. With a projected ROE of 18.5%, its P/B multiple of 3.2x is also not expensive. </li>
</ul>



Meituan (3690 HK)'s FY25 profit warning indicated its overall loss and loss for the Core Local Commerce segment have narrowed sequentially in 4Q25.   
While it will remain in the red in 1Q26, the government's anti-involution benefits will filter through in the next few quarters, underpinning a return to profit. 
Its FY27 PER of 14.1x is inexpensive relative to bigger peers. With a projected ROE of 18.5%, its P/B multiple of 3.2x is also not expensive. 


2026 High Conviction Update: Meituan (3690 HK) - Clearer Skies