Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Oracle Stock Crashes As AI Spending Spirals Out Of Control!

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities, Mint Finance

Raghav Vashisht

AI | Semiconductors | Commodities

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>AI capex is splitting into two trades: control of scarce inputs versus balance-sheet–heavy buildouts.</li>
<li>Oracle's backlog is exploding, but cash flow isn’t: capex has surged far ahead of revenue, flipping free cash flow negative. Firm flags labour shortages amid strong layoff rumours. </li>
<li>Oracle’s CDS is trading AI risk in real time, turning growth optimism into a cost-of-capital test.</li>
</ul>


AI capex is splitting into two trades: control of scarce inputs versus balance-sheet–heavy buildouts.
Oracle's backlog is exploding, but cash flow isn’t: capex has surged far ahead of revenue, flipping free cash flow negative. Firm flags labour shortages amid strong layoff rumours. 
Oracle’s CDS is trading AI risk in real time, turning growth optimism into a cost-of-capital test.


At Oracle, AI Backlog Is Colliding With the Balance Sheet

Oracle Corp

At Oracle, AI Backlog Is Colliding With the Balance Sheet