Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Long 10Y, Short 2Y on Yield Curve Normalisation

Yield Curve Inverts Further on Rising Recession Risk

Navigating Frothy US Equities with S&P Spreads

Global Commodities, Mint Finance

Srinidhi Raghavendra

Global Commodities

Cross Asset Strategy

Multiple Countries / Cross Asset Strategy

2-Year US Treasury Note Futures (TU1 COMDTY)

<ul>
<li>Shifting rate cut expectations and contrasting demand for treasuries creates a nuanced topology across various yield curves and inversion dynamics.</li>
<li>Last Dec, expectations were for six rate cuts of 25 bps each to start from Jan. Two FOMC meetings have passed with rates unchanged. </li>
<li>FOMC meetings thus far have resulted in (1) No hike &amp; No guidance, &amp; (2) No hike &amp; Reaffirm guidance. Expectation is for 3 cuts of 25 bps from Jun. </li>
</ul>


Shifting rate cut expectations and contrasting demand for treasuries creates a nuanced topology across various yield curves and inversion dynamics.
Last Dec, expectations were for six rate cuts of 25 bps each to start from Jan. Two FOMC meetings have passed with rates unchanged. 
FOMC meetings thus far have resulted in (1) No hike &amp; No guidance, &amp; (2) No hike &amp; Reaffirm guidance. Expectation is for 3 cuts of 25 bps from Jun. 


Auction Dynamics Augurs Well for Long 2Y Short 5Y Spread