While markets anticipate the Bank of Japan to maintain rates at 0.5% for the 31 July meeting, the limited data on BoJ rate decisions leave their surprise potential up for interpretation.
What is covered in the Full Insight:
Introduction to BoJ Rate Decision
Market Expectations and Current Economic Conditions
Impact of US-Japan Trade Deal
Historical Market Reactions to BoJ Announcements
Volatility Analysis and Future Outlook
Boomeranged on Thu, 31 Jul 2025 10:03
Reminder: The Bank of Japan’s policy decision is due today around noon (31 July). Markets remain calm, with the Nikkei 225 and implied volatility little changed. While a rate hold is widely expected, this analysis points to the BoJ’s limited signaling experience—leaving room for tail risks.