Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

TOPIX October 2022 Rebal - Treading Water

Aruhi (7198) Forecast Reduction, Tender Extended, Watch for Index and Trading Flow

Bank of Kyoto (8369) - Not a Normal Regional Bank

JAPAN ACTIVISM:  Silchester's Bank of Kyoto AGM Results - Activism Still Failing

Bank of Kyoto (8369) Surprises With a Cross-Holding Sale Plan (Albeit Small)

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bank-of-kyoto" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:5248:1" rel="noopener">Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP)</a> is currently at a 51% discount to the After Tax Value of its Equity Portfolio assuming its banking ops are priced at a RegionalBankAveragePBR.</li>
<li>That is, believe it or not, relatively narrow, and given the nature of the risks making it a range trade, it makes short-term timing probably a sell. </li>
<li>There is, helpfully, 6 days of ADV to sell in the TOPIX FFW adjustment on 28 October, and all five of the top holdings are also net sells (0.5-1.1 days).</li>
</ul>



Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) is currently at a 51% discount to the After Tax Value of its Equity Portfolio assuming its banking ops are priced at a RegionalBankAveragePBR.
That is, believe it or not, relatively narrow, and given the nature of the risks making it a range trade, it makes short-term timing probably a sell. 
There is, helpfully, 6 days of ADV to sell in the TOPIX FFW adjustment on 28 October, and all five of the top holdings are also net sells (0.5-1.1 days).


Bank of Kyoto (8369 JP) Holdco Maybe Rich-Ish - Watch for TOPIX Rebal SELL Flow