Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

BILIBILI (BILI US): Cracks in Business Model

[Bilibili(BILI US, SELL, TP US$12.3) Review]: E-Commerce Ads Aren’t Sufficient to Hide Other Issues

[Bilibili Inc. (BILI US, SELL, TP US$9) Target Price Change]: Niche Player Faces Market Saturation

Tencent: Domestic Gaming Returns to Growth

Kuaishou 1Q2023: Upbeat Quarter with a Small Share Buyback

Bilibili 4Q: Gaming to Drop Further with In-House Developed Strategy

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/bilibili-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:26793:1" rel="noopener">Bilibili Inc (BILI US)</a> ’s 1Q2023 top line growth remained flat (+0.3%) while cost control measures helped reduce losses. This marks the lowest quarterly revenue growth for the company since 2017.</li>
<li>Mobile games revenue further decreased while Value Added Services (VAS) revenue growth dropped to 5.1% during the quarter, lowest ever for the segment.</li>
<li>There was no disclosure on paying user numbers and we do not expect any significant recovery in top line growth over the next 2-3 quarters.</li>
</ul>



Bilibili Inc (BILI US) ’s 1Q2023 top line growth remained flat (+0.3%) while cost control measures helped reduce losses. This marks the lowest quarterly revenue growth for the company since 2017.
Mobile games revenue further decreased while Value Added Services (VAS) revenue growth dropped to 5.1% during the quarter, lowest ever for the segment.
There was no disclosure on paying user numbers and we do not expect any significant recovery in top line growth over the next 2-3 quarters.


Bilibili: Mobile Game Further Declines and VAS Slowing Down; Cost Controls Help Reduce Losses