China’s refined copper output is projected to contract 4–5% this month—the first seasonal decline since 2016—driven by smelter inefficiencies and concentrate shortages.
Exchange inventories show divergence: LME and SHFE stocks are falling while CME stocks rise, amplifying regional supply tightness and premium volatility.
CME Copper futures show strengthening bullish momentum, with RSI above 50 and MACD nearing a bullish crossover, signaling improving market sentiment.
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