Capesize futures gained 87% in H1 2026, with June’s 35% reversal erased as Middle East tensions eased, before prices recovered in July.
Chinese commodity demand remains a key support: YTD iron ore imports rose 6.4%, aluminium ores 18%, while longer Guinea- and Brazil-origin voyages tighten effective Capesize supply.
Options positioning remains more bullish for Capesize: H1 put/call ratio was 0.38 versus 0.47 for Panamax, with August Capesize calls nearly three times puts and 40k a key upside strike
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Dry Bulk Freight Derivatives Chartbook (H1 2026 and Beyond)