Chief Economist, Heteronomics

Phil Rush

Philip Rush is the Founder and Chief Economist of Heteronomics. Until launching in November 2016, he was Nomura's Senior European Economist and was the Chief UK Economist there since 2010. Before that, he was UK Economist at Barclays Wealth, where he also developed strategic asset allocation models for their market return portfolios. Philip started his career at Lehman Brothers covering the UK, Scandinavian and Swiss economies. A book on his fundamental framework was published in January 2018 as "Real Market Economics".

Chief Economist

Heteronomics

Heteronomics represents a different kind of economics. We believe analysis should delve into the details of what is really going on, rather than using overly simplistic assumptions to quick-sell stories. Independence from myopic institutional pressures allows us to focus on the realities underlying your asset allocation decisions, without the conflicts of the old market structures. Heteronomics targets the themes driving UK asset prices, offering the benefits of depth, independence and ultimately price.

UK-centric macro research

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>EA inflation was confirmed at 3% in April, with housing and transport driving the 48bps increase amid ongoing passthrough of the energy supply shock from the Middle East.</li>
<li>The monthly impulse in underlying inflation pressures is otherwise mostly marginally above the target, except in France. The UK still suffers the worst inflationary trend.</li>
<li>Another rise is likely in May, despite government efforts to limit the shock. We still see upside risks to our forecast. A June ECB rate hike helps with second-round effects.</li>
</ul>


EA inflation was confirmed at 3% in April, with housing and transport driving the 48bps increase amid ongoing passthrough of the energy supply shock from the Middle East.
The monthly impulse in underlying inflation pressures is otherwise mostly marginally above the target, except in France. The UK still suffers the worst inflationary trend.
Another rise is likely in May, despite government efforts to limit the shock. We still see upside risks to our forecast. A June ECB rate hike helps with second-round effects.


EA: Inflating To a Hike