Quantitative Researcher, MRM Research

Nico Rosti

Quantitative Researcher, Algorithmic Trader and former Portfolio Manager at Capital Theory Investment Management, LLC, a CTA based in Austin, Texas (USA), where I developed and ran automated algorithmic trading strategies for the US Futures and Options markets. 

My work is focused on the statistical study of the "persistence of trends" and "mean reversion" effects in global Equities, Futures, Indexes, Bonds and FX Spot markets. I make extensive use of probabilistic Bayesian models to predict short-term (1 day to few weeks) trend reversals.

I do not use any AI/machine learning processes in my work: all models and algorithms are built by humans. This approach is very labour-intensive but produces forecasts that have a clearly understandable/explainable rationale (no black-boxes).

Quantitative Researcher

HSI Rising, CSI 300 Stalled: No Divergence, No Arbitrage, Both Show a SELL Signal

MRM Research

Quantitative Research

Equity Derivatives

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index / Equity Derivatives

Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 INDEX EQUITY)

<ul>
<li>The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/shanghai-shenzhen-csi-300-index" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:22906:1" rel="noopener">Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 Index)</a> exploded higher in mid-September 2024, then went flat in a range (still there as we write). </li>
<li>Our models currently see uptrend and downtrend targets positioned at an equal distance from the last WEEKLY CLose on December 13th.</li>
<li>In short this means that the index is "perfectly neutral" at the moment, a rare scenario that requires straddle and strangle-like strategies to be able to profit.</li>
</ul>


The Shanghai Shenzhen CSI 300 Index (SHSZ300 Index) exploded higher in mid-September 2024, then went flat in a range (still there as we write). 
Our models currently see uptrend and downtrend targets positioned at an equal distance from the last WEEKLY CLose on December 13th.
In short this means that the index is "perfectly neutral" at the moment, a rare scenario that requires straddle and strangle-like strategies to be able to profit.


EQD | CSI 300 Stuck in Neutral: Equal Chances to Rally or Drop