Global Rates: Where next for CB and rates as the Middle-East conflict persists?

• European and UK Two year Treasury yields broke range, money markets pricing Fed on hold through December with one 25 basis point cut over next year
• US Yields less sensitive to changes in oil prices due to energy exports and dual mandate on labor markets and inflation
• Factors contributing to US market movement include residual concerns over labor market, Fed turnover, inflation data, liquidity component, and structural better liquidity

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