Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

David Blennerhassett

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. 

I'm a highly experienced sell-side analyst with in excess of 22 years of covering Asia Pacific equities, the past 19 years immersed in event strategies encompassing M&A risk arbitrage, directional long/short, stub trades and restructuring.  

My background also includes accountancy (liquidation/bankruptcy/receivership) earlier in my career and as a chief financial officer of a global commodity company based in the US and Mexico.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

Thoughts on Amazon –What Does Its Valuation Tells Us?

Netflix & Amazon Expand in Korea – Not a Coincidence

Okja: The Fight Between Netflix Vs. CJ CGV

Quiddity Advisors

Event-Driven

Power generation equipment manufacturer <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/11116" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11116:1">Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK)</a> is currently <a href="http://www3.hkexnews.hk/listedco/listconews/sehk/2018/1218/LTN201812189991.PDF" target="_blank">suspended</a> pursuant to Hong Kong's Codes on Takeovers and Mergers and Share Buy-backs, suggesting a privatisation offer from parent Harbin Electric Corporation ("HEC") is pending.
HE is PRC incorporated, therefore a privatisation by way of a merger by absorption may be proposed, similar to <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/13753" target="_blank">Advanced Semiconductor Mfg Corp Ltd. (3355 HK)</a> as discussed in <a href="http://bit.ly/2RECw2y" target="_blank">ASMC's Merger By Absorption.</a> 
HE has perennially traded at discount to net cash. As at its last traded price, the discount to net cash (using the 2018 interim figure of HK$12.4bn or HK$7.27/share) was 65%.
HE issued 329mn domestic shares (~47.16% of the existing issued domestic shares and ~24.02% of the existing total issued shares) to its parent in January this year, at HK$4.56/share or a 60.9% discount to the June 2017 book value.  A similar discount to the June 2018 book value backs out HK$4.15/share, or ~67% upside from the undisturbed price, in line with the premium to ASMC's Offer. 
A privatisation would require a scheme-like vote for the H-shares. HEC holds no H shares. There are 675mn H shares and no single shareholder controls a 10% (or more) blocking stake.
Dissension rights are available according to HE's articles of association, although what constitutes a "fair price" under those rights, and the timing of the settlement under such rights, are not evident. 
There are likely to be the customary PRC regulatory approvals required, however as HEC is already the controlling shareholder and an SOE, these conditions are not in doubt.
Should an offer emerge, expect completion in ~6 months from the initial announcement.

Power generation equipment manufacturer Harbin Electric Co Ltd H (1133 HK) is currently suspended pursuant to Hong Kong's Codes on Takeovers and Mergers and Share Buy-backs, suggesting a privatisation offer from parent Harbin Electric Corporation ("HEC") is pending.
HE is PRC incorporated, therefore a privatisation by way of a merger by absorption may be proposed, similar to Advanced Semiconductor Mfg Corp Ltd. (3355 HK) as discussed in ASMC's Merger By Absorption. 
HE has perennially traded at discount to net cash. As at its last traded price, the discount to net cash (using the 2018 interim figure of HK$12.4bn or HK$7.27/share) was 65%.
HE issued 329mn domestic shares (~47.16% of the existing issued domestic shares and ~24.02% of the existing total issued shares) to its parent in January this year, at HK$4.56/share or a 60.9% discount to the June 2017 book value.  A similar discount to the June 2018 book value backs out HK$4.15/share, or ~67% upside from the undisturbed price, in line with the premium to ASMC's Offer. 
A privatisation would require a scheme-like vote for the H-shares. HEC holds no H shares. There are 675mn H shares and no single shareholder controls a 10% (or more) blocking stake.
Dissension rights are available according to HE's articles of association, although what constitutes a "fair price" under those rights, and the timing of the settlement under such rights, are not evident. 
There are likely to be the customary PRC regulatory approvals required, however as HEC is already the controlling shareholder and an SOE, these conditions are not in doubt.
Should an offer emerge, expect completion in ~6 months from the initial announcement.

China High Speed Transmission Equip Grp (658 HK)

Shanghai Electric Group Company (2727 HK)

Harbin Electric Expected To Be Privatised