Mint Finance

Mint Finance's investment research blends deep fundamental analysis with technical & quant insights. Investment strategies straddle across multiple asset classes with risk management embedded into every trade to deliver an outsized reward-to-risk ratio.

Mint Finance's research is centered around three key themes. First, energy transition and climate change. Second, artificial intelligence. Third, shifting world order with its impact across politics and monetary economics.

Deep Fundamental Analysis

Oil and Gas, Mint Finance

Suhas Reddy

Oil and Gas

Commodities

<ul>
<li>Henry Hub futures surged over 70% in a single week as extreme cold, production freeze-offs, and reduced LNG feedgas flows combined to create the most violent short-term rises.</li>
<li>Despite the sharp rally, the futures curve remained deeply inverted, with stress confined to the front month, signalling acute near-term scarcity rather than a regime shift.</li>
<li>Historical parallels show that outcomes hinge on curve migration: rapid mean reversion follows transient shocks, while prolonged cold and inventory drawdowns allow risk premiums to persist longer.</li>
</ul>


Henry Hub futures surged over 70% in a single week as extreme cold, production freeze-offs, and reduced LNG feedgas flows combined to create the most violent short-term rises.
Despite the sharp rally, the futures curve remained deeply inverted, with stress confined to the front month, signalling acute near-term scarcity rather than a regime shift.
Historical parallels show that outcomes hinge on curve migration: rapid mean reversion follows transient shocks, while prolonged cold and inventory drawdowns allow risk premiums to persist longer.


Henry Hub Price Shock: Stress at the Front, Calm at the Back

Natural Gas

Henry Hub Price Shock: Stress at the Front, Calm at the Back