Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 31 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly But RMB Counters Approach

A/H Premium Tracker (Week to 7 Nov 2025):  Beautiful Skew Behaving Badly, CNOOC Better

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 24 Oct 2025); Big Flows on Downdraft, Lower Flows on Rebound

A/H Premium Tracker (2 Wks to 10 Oct 2025):  Beautiful Skew But Trade Tantrums Again

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (2wks To 10 Oct 2025); Big Pre/Post Holiday Flows. NB 2x as Big.

Quiddity Advisors

Quantitative Analysis

Hong kong Consumer discretionary / Quantitative Analysis

<ul>
<li>Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.</li>
<li>The recommended name was long <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/guangzhou-automobile-group-co-ltd" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:11082:1" rel="noopener">Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK)</a>.   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.</li>
<li>The data tables below update on a daily basis in the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Tools</a> section of Smartkarma. The <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/south-flow-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">Southbound Flow Monitor</a> and <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/tools/quiddity/ah-shares-monitor" target="_blank" rel="noopener">AH Pairs Monitor</a> are both there - free - for all SK readers.</li>
</ul>


Gross SOUTHBOUND volumes rebounded to US$16bn a day over the past week (four trading days) and NET buying was decent at nearly HK$7bn a day. Very Un-beautiful skew again though.
The recommended name was long Guangzhou Automobile Group (2238 HK).   From Monday's close to Friday's close, the stock was down 2+% and the H underperformed the A by 5.7%. Awful.
The data tables below update on a daily basis in the Tools section of Smartkarma. The Southbound Flow Monitor and AH Pairs Monitor are both there - free - for all SK readers.


Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC) (981 HK)

Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corp (SMIC)

HK Connect SOUTHBOUND Flows (Wk To 31 Oct 2025) - Volatile Unwinding But Net SOE Buying