Korea / Special Situations, Clepsydra Capital

Sanghyun Park

I investigate special situations in Korea.

Korea / Special Situations

October 7 MTD Reply: A Paradoxical Setup for Hynix

Sept 22 MTD Opposition Raises Oct 21 Survival Odds, Boosting Hynix ADR Expansion Incentive

Trading Setup from Samsung and Hynix Timing Buyback Completion Around Litigation Key Dates

Setup Pointing to Hynix (And Samsung) Slowing Their Dollar Selling Pretty Soon

Korea / Special Sits, Pairs, Index Rebalancing

Clepsydra Capital

Investigate special situations, pairs, and index rebalancing trades in Korea.

Event-Driven

<ul>
<li>For memory swing traders, October 7’s MTD reply is the key catalyst, with Hynix potentially front running it by disclosing HBM customer commitments and 2027 capacity allocation.</li>
<li>Samsung’s HBM capacity messaging strengthens the supply trade off case, while Hynix could go further with customer commitments and allocation data to support an AI driven capacity reallocation narrative.</li>
<li>For Hynix, hard 2027 HBM capacity numbers or incremental customer commitments would matter far more than another generic capacity update, potentially driving estimates and near term share price volatility higher.</li>
</ul>


For memory swing traders, October 7’s MTD reply is the key catalyst, with Hynix potentially front running it by disclosing HBM customer commitments and 2027 capacity allocation.
Samsung’s HBM capacity messaging strengthens the supply trade off case, while Hynix could go further with customer commitments and allocation data to support an AI driven capacity reallocation narrative.
For Hynix, hard 2027 HBM capacity numbers or incremental customer commitments would matter far more than another generic capacity update, potentially driving estimates and near term share price volatility higher.


Samsung Electronics Pref Shares (005935 KS)

Hynix Could Follow Samsung With Key Disclosure Ahead of Oct 7 MTD Reply

SK Hynix

Hynix Could Follow Samsung With Key Disclosure Ahead of Oct 7 MTD Reply