Global Materials | Industrials | Commodities

Rahul Jain

Over 20 years of sell-side research experience across Global Metals & Mining, Cement, Industrials, and Commodities. Extensive first-hand mine and plant visits spanning India, Australia, China, the US, and the UK.
Hundreds of buy-side engagements across major global financial hubs in Asia, North America, and Europe. Also led a comprehensive client tour of China to deepen industry understanding.

Focused on fundamentals-driven analysis including earnings modeling, cost structures, and valuations using DCF and relative multiples. Global commodity cycles, supply-demand trends, and macro factors are integrated into sector calls. Research prioritizes inflection points from price, cost, and policy shifts, using a disciplined bottom-up approach supported by top-down macro screening.

JFE Holdings: India JV Resets Long-Term Growth Path; Deep Value with Structural Upside

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Stable Core, Strategic JSW Stake, and Deep-Value Opportunity

JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Soft Q1 Priced In; Compelling Upside from Lowest EV/Ton in Peers

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.</li>
<li>Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.</li>
<li>Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.</li>
</ul>


Trough valuations: JFE trades at only US$525/t EV/t and 0.5× P/B, despite stable guidance and improving high-value steel mix.
Hidden value: 15% JSW Steel stake (~¥500 bn) equals ~45% of JFE’s market cap—cheap India exposure with re-rating potential.
Upside case: SOTP implies +50–60% equity upside, supported by 4–5% dividend yield and H2 margin recovery.


JFE Holdings (5411 JP) – Deep Value with Hidden JSW Optionality