Equity Analyst, LightStream Research

Shifara Samsudeen, ACMA, CGMA

A chartered management accountant with more than 10 years of rich experience in investment research and financial analysis. Worked as an equity analyst for one of the world's largest asset managers with USD2.5trn in AUM covering numerous sectors including chemicals, retail, tech, autos, telco, real-estate and banks, globally. Experienced in fundamental equity research, industry research, commodity studies, forensic accounting, and due diligence reviews.

Equity Analyst

Baycurrent Consulting: High Value-Added Projects and New Consulting Areas Drive New Phase of Growth

CyberAgent 1QFY09/2023: Earnings Miss, Struggling Gaming and Huge FIFA Cost Add to the Woes

Nihon M&A: Weak Earnings and Guidance for Full-Year Seems Too Optimistic

2023 High Conviction Shift: Margins Begin to Recover as Unprofitable Projects Coming to an End

Freee: Earnings Beat and Losses Widen as Freee Focuses on Mid-To-Long Term Plan

Money Forward: Top Line Beats Consensus but Losses Widen Further

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Long-Short Analysis on Japan, Asia and the World

LightStream Research

LightStream conducts quantitatively rigorous and data-driven analysis with a focus on Japan and Asia.

We consistently cover the Tech, Consumer and Industrial sectors, and provide ECM and Events coverage more broadly.

We supplement traditional qualitative insights from company relationships with a robust quantitative foundation that examines as much historical data as is available.
We further refine the accuracy of our insights and calls through the use of alternative data to flesh out current trends, and through a valuation framework that emphasises non-superficial peer group selection and a proper attempt to understand the metrics and changes that have driven security valuations in the past.

Equity Bottom-Up

<ul>
<li>
<a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/money-forward-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:25919:1" rel="noopener">Money Forward (3994 JP)</a> reported 4QFY11/2022 results yesterday. Revenue increased 42.5% YoY to JPY6.2bn (vs consensus JPY6.0bn) driven by growth in both MF Business and MF Home.</li>
<li>Operating losses for the quarter widened to JPY2.2bn (34.8% of revenue) from JPY661m (15.2% of revenue) in the same quarter last year (vs consensus JPY2.0bn).</li>
<li>Though MF’s top line continues to grow, we have not yet seen a meaningful improvement in its profitability, and we think, MF’s shares are overvalued compared to its counterpart freee.</li>
</ul>



Money Forward (3994 JP) reported 4QFY11/2022 results yesterday. Revenue increased 42.5% YoY to JPY6.2bn (vs consensus JPY6.0bn) driven by growth in both MF Business and MF Home.
Operating losses for the quarter widened to JPY2.2bn (34.8% of revenue) from JPY661m (15.2% of revenue) in the same quarter last year (vs consensus JPY2.0bn).
Though MF’s top line continues to grow, we have not yet seen a meaningful improvement in its profitability, and we think, MF’s shares are overvalued compared to its counterpart freee.


Money Forward: Top Line Expands, Yet to See Meaningful Turnaround in Profitability