Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Is the Unemployment Rate Drifting Higher or Lower?

A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions

Global Liquidity Will Be Hit By Sell-Off in Treasuries

The Eventual Shift in Fed Policy: When & By How Much?

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>Global central bank decisions and words have intended and unintended effects on the macro environment</li>
<li>It is important to synthesize the direction and dispersion of global central bank actions for potential clues</li>
<li>My global Central Bank Diffusion Indicator (gCBDI) offers a snapshot of the worldwide policy interest rate slant</li>
</ul>


Global central bank decisions and words have intended and unintended effects on the macro environment
It is important to synthesize the direction and dispersion of global central bank actions for potential clues
My global Central Bank Diffusion Indicator (gCBDI) offers a snapshot of the worldwide policy interest rate slant


Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues