Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues

Is the Unemployment Rate Drifting Higher or Lower?

The Eventual Shift in Fed Policy: When & By How Much?

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>The current US recession debate, while seemingly dormant, is arguably unsettled and undeniably intricate</li>
<li>And US recessions tend to be accompanied by periods of subpar growth in many other economies around the world</li>
<li>Hence, it is crucial to track and assess the risks attending the US economy by harnessing the proprietary weekly Recession Odds (weRO) indicator</li>
</ul>


The current US recession debate, while seemingly dormant, is arguably unsettled and undeniably intricate
And US recessions tend to be accompanied by periods of subpar growth in many other economies around the world
Hence, it is crucial to track and assess the risks attending the US economy by harnessing the proprietary weekly Recession Odds (weRO) indicator


A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions