Independent Economist, Forecaster and Strategist

Thomas Lam

Tom has over two decades of experience in the realm of economics and finance, with expertise ranging from covering the global economy, deciphering financial markets, including macro forecasting, to advising on investment strategy.

He commenced his career in New York, initially at a large money-center bank and then at a hedge fund.  Thereafter, while in Singapore, he worked at two financial institutions and later joined academia.  

Tom has been consistently ranked among the top five most accurate economists in the world on forecasting the US economy overall (placed third, last published by the “Bloomberg Rankings of Top Forecasters”).  During the Global Financial Crisis, he was also acknowledged as the second-best US forecaster worldwide.  

Moreover, he was exclusively identified by Bloomberg to have accurately predicted the onset of the 2009 US recovery 16 months ahead of the official announcement.  Consequently, he has been widely publicized as one of “Wall Street’s Most Prophetic Economists”.

A Unique High-Frequency Indicator of Recessions

Monitoring Global Central Bank Actions for Potential Clues

The Eventual Shift in Fed Policy: When & By How Much?

US Banking System Survives Treasury's First Borrowing Binge, but Liquidity Concerns for 2024 Linger

Portfolio Watch: Steep, Steeper, Steepest!

Macroeconomics

<ul>
<li>While financial stability considerations have become more prevalent, financial conditions are not easy to define and measure</li>
<li>Broad measures of financial and financial market conditions, like pasta, come in many different shapes and sizes</li>
<li>I harness my Financial Market Conditions Index to tease out the likely imprint on the US economy   </li>
</ul>


While financial stability considerations have become more prevalent, financial conditions are not easy to define and measure
Broad measures of financial and financial market conditions, like pasta, come in many different shapes and sizes
I harness my Financial Market Conditions Index to tease out the likely imprint on the US economy   


Pasta & Economic Activity