Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events, Quiddity Advisors

Travis Lundy

HK Type 4 license through Ballingal Investment Advisors Ltd. ("BIA" or "BIAL")

BACKGROUND
I have 20+yrs experience in Asia doing alternative strategies (i.e. non-delta1 non long-only) in fixed income, equity derivatives, and activist/catalyst/event-driven and long-short equity strategies with most of that time spent managing money. 

4 years in fixed income macro, 8 years running internal hedge fund and 4yrs investment banking at Citi in Japan, 3 years running an Asia multi-strat portfolio at a hedge fund, 4+yrs as an independent special situations analyst.

Pan-Asia Catalysts/Events

The Great Docomo/TOPIX Reallocation Trade

The End-November Japan Rebalances - How Much Is Priced In?

Surprising NTT Docomo Tender Result Accelerates Squeezeout, Great Re-Allocation, Nikkei 225 Change

Familymart Delisting and Its Nikkei 225 Replacement Is Nexon (3659)

Gravity Works As WeWork Doesn't; Now Plan B

Quiddity Advisors

Index Rebalance

With the results of the <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/nippon-telegraph-telephone-corporation" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:623:1" rel="noopener">NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP)</a> Tender Offer for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/ntt-docomo-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:1089:1" rel="noopener">NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP)</a> announced yesterday, getting them to 91.46%, this triggers a fast-track change in the Nikkei 225 treatment based on a <a href="https://indexes.nikkei.co.jp/nkave/archives/news/20200615E_1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">rule change for constituent selection</a> announced on 15 June. This was discussed briefly in <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/insights/surprising-ntt-docomo-tender-result-accelerates-squeezeout-great-re-allocation-nikkei-225-change" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="insights:45412" rel="noopener">Surprising NTT Docomo Tender Result Accelerates Squeezeout, Great Re-Allocation, Nikkei 225 Change</a>.The relevant part of the rule change is shown below. <section class="figure"><figure class="editor-figure mceNonEditable"><img src="https://static-prod.smartkarma.com/images/media/000/172/461/original/Screenshot%202020-11-18%20at%202.53.16%20PM.png?1605682411" class="editor-image img-responsive" data-smartkarma-image-id="172461"></figure></section>The first time it was used was with the replacement for <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sony-financial-holdings-inc" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:564:1" rel="noopener">Sony Financial Holdings (8729 JP)</a> where the clearance of 90% made delisting a foregone conclusion because it only required the parent to ask. The same is the case here. Today, the Nikkei Index Business Office <a href="https://indexes.nikkei.co.jp/nkave/archives/news/20201118E_1.pdf" target="_blank" rel="noopener">announced</a> the replacement for NTT Docomo in the Nikkei 225 Index. It is <a href="https://www.smartkarma.com/entities/sharp-corp" target="_blank" data-smartkarma-citation="entities:391:1" rel="noopener">Sharp Corp (6753 JP)</a> with a presumed par value of 50 yen. The change will be made at the close of trading on 1 December 2020 (8 trading days left). This is surprising. Very surprising. And it matters a lot.Due to the reverse 1:10 share split of end-2017, this should have been a presumed par value of 500 yen. I half wonder whether they made a typo and will correct it. The other possibility is that because it happened while the stock was in the Purgatorio of the Second Section, that data simply didn't register so they ignored it. Which would be a Very Bureaucratic Thing To Do.Details on the index rebalance trade below.

With the results of the NTT (Nippon Telegraph &amp; Telephone) (9432 JP) Tender Offer for NTT Docomo Inc (9437 JP) announced yesterday, getting them to 91.46%, this triggers a fast-track change in the Nikkei 225 treatment based on a rule change for constituent selection announced on 15 June. This was discussed briefly in Surprising NTT Docomo Tender Result Accelerates Squeezeout, Great Re-Allocation, Nikkei 225 Change.The relevant part of the rule change is shown below. The first time it was used was with the replacement for Sony Financial Holdings (8729 JP) where the clearance of 90% made delisting a foregone conclusion because it only required the parent to ask. The same is the case here. Today, the Nikkei Index Business Office announced the replacement for NTT Docomo in the Nikkei 225 Index. It is Sharp Corp (6753 JP) with a presumed par value of 50 yen. The change will be made at the close of trading on 1 December 2020 (8 trading days left). This is surprising. Very surprising. And it matters a lot.Due to the reverse 1:10 share split of end-2017, this should have been a presumed par value of 500 yen. I half wonder whether they made a typo and will correct it. The other possibility is that because it happened while the stock was in the Purgatorio of the Second Section, that data simply didn't register so they ignored it. Which would be a Very Bureaucratic Thing To Do.Details on the index rebalance trade below.

NTT (Nippon Telegraph & Telephone) (9432 JP)

NTT Docomo Delisting; Nikkei 225 Replacement Is SHARP (6753) - With a Surprise